Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for La Liga, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

La Liga

VS

Final result3–0

Estadio de Vallecas

Match Finished

OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or Celta Vigo and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Rayo VallecanoProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
Celta VigoProbability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Celta Vigo
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Celta Vigo and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorRayo VallecanoCelta Vigo
Form36.0%64.0%
Attack38.0%62.0%
Defence17.0%83.0%
Poisson40.0%60.0%
H2H62.0%38.0%
Goals45.0%55.0%
Total39.7%60.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Rayo Vallecano

Recent form (last 5): L W D D L

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Celta Vigo

Recent form (last 5): D W D W D

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Celta Vigo 3–0 Rayo Vallecano (18 Jan 2026)
  2. Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Celta Vigo (21 Sep 2025)
  3. Celta Vigo 1–2 Rayo Vallecano (18 May 2025)
  4. Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Celta Vigo (10 Jan 2025)
  5. Celta Vigo 0–0 Rayo Vallecano (31 Mar 2024)
  6. Rayo Vallecano 0–0 Celta Vigo (11 Dec 2023)
  7. Celta Vigo 3–0 Rayo Vallecano (11 Mar 2023)
  8. Rayo Vallecano 0–0 Celta Vigo (10 Nov 2022)
  9. Celta Vigo 2–0 Rayo Vallecano (05 Feb 2022)
  10. Rayo Vallecano 0–0 Celta Vigo (01 Nov 2021)

Rayo Vallecano recent matches

Scores below are shown as Rayo Vallecano goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
27 Oct 2026Recreativo HuelvaAway3–2Won
24 Oct 2026ElcheHome0–3Lost
19 Oct 2026GetafeAway1–1Draw
19 Sep 2026OsasunaAway1–1Draw
15 Sep 2026EspanyolHome2–1Won
Rayo Vallecano detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Rayo Vallecano performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total9
Wins home2
Wins away0
Wins total2
Draws home1
Draws away2
Draws total3
Losses home1
Losses away3
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home3-2
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away5-2
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away5
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage100.00%
Penalty total1

Rayo Vallecano goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home6
Goals for total away6
Goals for total12
Goals for average home1.50
Goals for average away1.20
Goals for average total1.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage30.77%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage15.38%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage7.69%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage46.15%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under9
Goals against total home7
Goals against total away13
Goals against total20
Goals against average home1.80
Goals against average away2.60
Goals against average total2.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage10.53%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage31.58%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage10.53%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage15.79%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage10.53%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage21.05%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under8

Celta Vigo recent matches

Scores below are shown as Celta Vigo goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
25 Oct 2026Real BetisHome0–0Draw
22 Oct 2026CelticAway2–1Won
18 Oct 2026AlavesHome2–1Won
15 Oct 2026JuventusHome1–2Lost
11 Oct 2026ElcheAway0–0Draw
Celta Vigo detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Celta Vigo performance

Fixtures played home6
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total10
Wins home2
Wins away0
Wins total2
Draws home2
Draws away4
Draws total6
Losses home2
Losses away0
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home5-0
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away1
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total5
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total5
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Celta Vigo goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home9
Goals for total away1
Goals for total10
Goals for average home1.50
Goals for average away0.30
Goals for average total1.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage30.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under9
Goals against total home6
Goals against total away1
Goals against total7
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away0.30
Goals against average total0.70
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage42.86%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage28.57%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under10

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Rayo Vallecano predictions and analysis, Celta Vigo match tips, or more La Liga predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.