Malaga vs Real Sociedad Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for La Liga, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

La Liga

VS

Final result2–5

La Rosaleda

Match Finished

OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or Real SociedadSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
MalagaProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
Real SociedadProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Real Sociedad
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Real Sociedad

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorMalagaReal Sociedad
Form23.0%77.0%
Attack25.0%75.0%
Defence60.0%40.0%
Poisson37.0%63.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals55.0%45.0%
Total41.7%58.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Malaga

Recent form (last 5): D D L L D

Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.

Real Sociedad

Recent form (last 5): D W L W W

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Malaga 0–1 Real Sociedad (07 Jan 2024)
  2. Malaga 2–0 Real Sociedad (22 Apr 2018)
  3. Real Sociedad 0–2 Malaga (10 Dec 2017)
  4. Real Sociedad 2–2 Malaga (14 May 2017)
  5. Malaga 0–2 Real Sociedad (16 Jan 2017)
  6. Real Sociedad 1–1 Malaga (27 Feb 2016)
  7. Malaga 3–1 Real Sociedad (03 Oct 2015)
  8. Malaga 1–1 Real Sociedad (04 Apr 2015)
  9. Real Sociedad 0–1 Malaga (01 Nov 2014)
  10. Malaga 0–1 Real Sociedad (17 Feb 2014)

Malaga recent matches

Scores below are shown as Malaga goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
09 Oct 2026EspanyolHome1–1Draw
20 Sep 2026GetafeAway0–1Lost
17 Sep 2026VillarrealHome1–3Lost
13 Sep 2026Celta VigoAway1–1Draw
06 Sep 2026LevanteHome0–0Draw
Malaga detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Malaga performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total8
Wins home0
Wins away0
Wins total0
Draws home3
Draws away1
Draws total4
Losses home1
Losses away3
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins0
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away4-0
Biggest goals for home1
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage50.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage50.00%
Penalty total2

Malaga goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home3
Goals for total away1
Goals for total4
Goals for average home0.80
Goals for average away0.30
Goals for average total0.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage40.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under8
Goals against total home5
Goals against total away8
Goals against total13
Goals against average home1.30
Goals against average away2.00
Goals against average total1.60
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage8.33%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage8.33%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage33.33%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under8

Real Sociedad recent matches

Scores below are shown as Real Sociedad goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
15 Oct 2026Union St. GilloiseAway1–1Draw
11 Oct 2026Deportivo La CorunaHome3–2Won
02 Oct 2026Athletic ClubHome0–1Lost
20 Sep 2026ValenciaAway3–2Won
17 Sep 2026BournemouthHome1–2Lost
Real Sociedad detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Real Sociedad performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total8
Wins home2
Wins away2
Wins total4
Draws home1
Draws away0
Draws total1
Losses home1
Losses away2
Losses total3
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-2
Biggest wins away2-3
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Real Sociedad goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home5
Goals for total away7
Goals for total12
Goals for average home1.30
Goals for average away1.80
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage15.38%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage15.38%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage23.08%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage7.69%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage7.69%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage30.77%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under8
Goals against total home6
Goals against total away9
Goals against total15
Goals against average home1.50
Goals against average away2.30
Goals against average total1.90
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage42.86%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage28.57%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under8

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Malaga predictions and analysis, Real Sociedad match tips, or more La Liga predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.