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Barcelona vs Real Madrid Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for La Liga, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

La Liga

Barcelona badge Barcelona
VS

Final result1–2

Spotify Camp Nou

Match Finished

Real Madrid badge Real Madrid
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Winner : Barcelona and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 45%
45%
HOME WIN
BarcelonaProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Real MadridProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Barcelona
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Barcelona and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorBarcelonaReal Madrid
Form56.0%44.0%
Attack63.0%37.0%
Defence46.0%54.0%
Poisson77.0%23.0%
H2H80.0%20.0%
Goals59.0%41.0%
Total63.5%36.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Barcelona

Recent form (last 5): W W W W W

Average goals scored: 4.30 per match.

Real Madrid

Recent form (last 5): W W L W W

Average goals scored: 2.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Barcelona 2–0 Real Madrid (10 May 2026)
  2. Barcelona 3–2 Real Madrid (11 Jan 2026)
  3. Real Madrid 2–1 Barcelona (26 Oct 2025)
  4. Barcelona 4–3 Real Madrid (11 May 2025)
  5. Barcelona 3–2 Real Madrid (26 Apr 2025)
  6. Real Madrid 2–5 Barcelona (12 Jan 2025)
  7. Real Madrid 0–4 Barcelona (26 Oct 2024)
  8. Barcelona 2–1 Real Madrid (04 Aug 2024)
  9. Real Madrid 3–2 Barcelona (21 Apr 2024)
  10. Real Madrid 4–1 Barcelona (14 Jan 2024)

Barcelona recent matches

Scores below are shown as Barcelona goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20 Oct 2026Paris Saint GermainAway2–4Lost
17 Oct 2026Real BetisAway5–2Won
13 Oct 2026GalatasarayAway4–1Won
10 Oct 2026GetafeHome3–0Won
19 Sep 2026SevillaAway3–1Won
Barcelona detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Barcelona performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total9
Wins home4
Wins away5
Wins total9
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins9
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home7-2
Biggest wins away0-5
Biggest goals for home7
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total4
Penalty scored percentage80.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage20.00%
Penalty total5

Barcelona goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home17
Goals for total away22
Goals for total39
Goals for average home4.30
Goals for average away4.40
Goals for average total4.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage16.22%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage18.92%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage10.81%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage10.81%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage18.92%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total9
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage24.32%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under4
Goals against total home4
Goals against total away5
Goals against total9
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage27.27%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage27.27%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage18.18%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Real Madrid recent matches

Scores below are shown as Real Madrid goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
21 Oct 2026RB LeipzigHome4–1Won
18 Oct 2026SevillaHome4–1Won
14 Oct 2026AS RomaAway4–3Won
10 Oct 2026VillarrealHome1–0Won
20 Sep 2026Atletico MadridAway1–2Lost
Real Madrid detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Real Madrid performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total9
Wins home5
Wins away2
Wins total7
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away2
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away2-3
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage66.67%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage33.33%
Penalty total3

Real Madrid goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home17
Goals for total away6
Goals for total23
Goals for average home3.40
Goals for average away1.50
Goals for average total2.60
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage9.52%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage19.05%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage19.05%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage4.76%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage33.33%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under9
Goals against total home3
Goals against total away6
Goals against total9
Goals against average home0.60
Goals against average away1.50
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage27.27%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage27.27%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage27.27%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Barcelona predictions and analysis, Real Madrid match tips, or more La Liga predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.