Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for La Liga, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

Record updated: .

La Liga

VS

Riyadh Air Metropolitano

OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or BarcelonaSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Atletico MadridProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
BarcelonaProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Barcelona
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Barcelona

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorAtletico MadridBarcelona
Form56.0%44.0%
Attack31.0%69.0%
Defence75.0%25.0%
Poisson39.0%61.0%
H2H40.0%60.0%
Goals53.0%47.0%
Total49.0%51.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Atletico Madrid

Recent form (last 5): W W W W W

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Barcelona

Recent form (last 5): W W W L W

Average goals scored: 4.20 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Atletico Madrid 1–2 Barcelona (14 Apr 2026)
  2. Barcelona 0–2 Atletico Madrid (08 Apr 2026)
  3. Atletico Madrid 1–2 Barcelona (04 Apr 2026)
  4. Barcelona 3–0 Atletico Madrid (03 Mar 2026)
  5. Atletico Madrid 4–0 Barcelona (12 Feb 2026)
  6. Barcelona 3–1 Atletico Madrid (02 Dec 2025)
  7. Atletico Madrid 0–1 Barcelona (02 Apr 2025)
  8. Atletico Madrid 2–4 Barcelona (16 Mar 2025)
  9. Barcelona 4–4 Atletico Madrid (25 Feb 2025)
  10. Barcelona 1–2 Atletico Madrid (21 Dec 2024)

Atletico Madrid recent matches

Scores below are shown as Atletico Madrid goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
03 Nov 2026Bayern MünchenHome0–2Lost
31 Oct 2026LevanteAway2–0Won
24 Oct 2026Deportivo La CorunaHome1–0Won
20 Oct 2026VfB StuttgartAway1–1Draw
17 Oct 2026EspanyolAway1–0Won
Atletico Madrid detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Atletico Madrid performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away6
Fixtures played total11
Wins home4
Wins away5
Wins total9
Draws home1
Draws away0
Draws total1
Losses home0
Losses away1
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away0-3
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total6
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total2

Atletico Madrid goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home11
Goals for total away11
Goals for total22
Goals for average home2.20
Goals for average away1.80
Goals for average total2.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage4.55%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage13.64%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage22.73%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage13.64%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total8
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage36.36%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over10
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under11
Goals against total home3
Goals against total away5
Goals against total8
Goals against average home0.60
Goals against average away0.80
Goals against average total0.70
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage37.50%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under11

Barcelona recent matches

Scores below are shown as Barcelona goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
03 Nov 2026Aston VillaHome3–0Won
31 Oct 2026AlavesHome6–1Won
25 Oct 2026Real MadridHome1–2Lost
20 Oct 2026Paris Saint GermainAway2–4Lost
17 Oct 2026Real BetisAway5–2Won
Barcelona detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Barcelona performance

Fixtures played home6
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total11
Wins home5
Wins away5
Wins total10
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home1
Losses away0
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins9
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home7-2
Biggest wins away0-5
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest goals for home7
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total4
Penalty scored percentage80.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage20.00%
Penalty total5

Barcelona goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home24
Goals for total away22
Goals for total46
Goals for average home4.00
Goals for average away4.40
Goals for average total4.20
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total7
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage15.91%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total8
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage11.36%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage11.36%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total9
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage20.45%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total10
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage22.73%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over11
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over10
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under5
Goals against total home7
Goals against total away5
Goals against total12
Goals against average home1.20
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total1.10
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage7.14%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage21.43%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage21.43%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage7.14%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage28.57%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under11

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Atletico Madrid predictions and analysis, Barcelona match tips, or more La Liga predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.