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Alaves vs Malaga Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for La Liga, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

La Liga

Alaves badge Alaves
VS

Final result1–1

Estadio de Mendizorroza

Match Finished

Malaga badge Malaga
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Alaves or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
AlavesProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
MalagaProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Alaves
Betting advice
Double chance : Alaves or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorAlavesMalaga
Form33.0%67.0%
Attack38.0%63.0%
Defence61.0%39.0%
Poisson93.0%7.0%
H2H80.0%20.0%
Goals73.0%27.0%
Total63.0%37.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Alaves

Recent form (last 5): L L D L L

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Malaga

Recent form (last 5): D L L D L

Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Alaves 2–1 Malaga (20 May 2023)
  2. Malaga 1–0 Alaves (18 Dec 2022)
  3. Malaga 0–3 Alaves (06 May 2018)
  4. Alaves 1–0 Malaga (21 Dec 2017)
  5. Malaga 1–2 Alaves (11 Mar 2017)
  6. Alaves 1–1 Malaga (16 Oct 2016)

Alaves recent matches

Scores below are shown as Alaves goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18 Oct 2026Celta VigoAway1–2Lost
10 Oct 2026Atletico MadridHome1–2Lost
19 Sep 2026Athletic ClubAway0–0Draw
15 Sep 2026ValenciaHome0–1Lost
12 Sep 2026Racing SantanderAway1–2Lost
Alaves detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Alaves performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total9
Wins home3
Wins away0
Wins total3
Draws home0
Draws away2
Draws total2
Losses home2
Losses away2
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home5-2
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Alaves goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home10
Goals for total away3
Goals for total13
Goals for average home2.00
Goals for average away0.80
Goals for average total1.40
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage15.38%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage23.08%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage7.69%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage15.38%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage38.46%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under8
Goals against total home5
Goals against total away5
Goals against total10
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away1.30
Goals against average total1.10
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage40.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Malaga recent matches

Scores below are shown as Malaga goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18 Oct 2026Real SociedadHome2–5Lost
09 Oct 2026EspanyolHome1–1Draw
20 Sep 2026GetafeAway0–1Lost
17 Sep 2026VillarrealHome1–3Lost
13 Sep 2026Celta VigoAway1–1Draw
Malaga detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Malaga performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total9
Wins home0
Wins away0
Wins total0
Draws home3
Draws away1
Draws total4
Losses home2
Losses away3
Losses total5
Biggest streak wins0
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest losses home2-5
Biggest losses away4-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home5
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage50.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage50.00%
Penalty total2

Malaga goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home5
Goals for total away1
Goals for total6
Goals for average home1.00
Goals for average away0.30
Goals for average total0.70
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage28.57%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under9
Goals against total home10
Goals against total away8
Goals against total18
Goals against average home2.00
Goals against average away2.00
Goals against average total2.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage11.76%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage23.53%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage17.65%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage5.88%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage17.65%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage23.53%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under8

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Alaves predictions and analysis, Malaga match tips, or more La Liga predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.