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Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for La Liga, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

La Liga

Alaves badge Alaves
VS

Final result1–2

Estadio de Mendizorroza

Match Finished

Atletico Madrid badge Atletico Madrid
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or Atletico MadridSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
AlavesProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
Atletico MadridProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Atletico Madrid
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Atletico Madrid

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorAlavesAtletico Madrid
Form37.0%63.0%
Attack37.0%63.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson61.0%39.0%
H2H38.0%62.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total45.5%54.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Alaves

Recent form (last 5): W W L L D

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Atletico Madrid

Recent form (last 5): W L W W W

Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Atletico Madrid 1–0 Alaves (18 Jan 2026)
  2. Alaves 1–1 Atletico Madrid (30 Aug 2025)
  3. Alaves 0–0 Atletico Madrid (03 May 2025)
  4. Atletico Madrid 2–1 Alaves (23 Nov 2024)
  5. Alaves 2–0 Atletico Madrid (21 Apr 2024)
  6. Atletico Madrid 2–1 Alaves (29 Oct 2023)
  7. Atletico Madrid 4–1 Alaves (02 Apr 2022)
  8. Alaves 1–0 Atletico Madrid (25 Sep 2021)
  9. Atletico Madrid 1–0 Alaves (21 Mar 2021)
  10. Alaves 1–2 Atletico Madrid (03 Jan 2021)

Alaves recent matches

Scores below are shown as Alaves goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
19 Sep 2026Athletic ClubAway0–0Draw
15 Sep 2026ValenciaHome0–1Lost
12 Sep 2026Racing SantanderAway1–2Lost
06 Sep 2026OsasunaHome5–2Won
28 Aug 2026VillarrealHome1–0Won
Alaves detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Alaves performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total7
Wins home3
Wins away0
Wins total3
Draws home0
Draws away2
Draws total2
Losses home1
Losses away1
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home5-2
Biggest losses home0-1
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Alaves goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home9
Goals for total away2
Goals for total11
Goals for average home2.30
Goals for average away0.70
Goals for average total1.60
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage36.36%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under6
Goals against total home3
Goals against total away3
Goals against total6
Goals against average home0.80
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total0.90
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage50.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage16.67%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under7

Atletico Madrid recent matches

Scores below are shown as Atletico Madrid goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20 Sep 2026Real MadridHome2–1Won
16 Sep 2026OsasunaHome4–0Won
13 Sep 2026Real SociedadAway3–0Won
09 Sep 2026LiverpoolAway1–2Lost
05 Sep 2026Athletic ClubAway0–3Lost
Atletico Madrid detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Atletico Madrid performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total7
Wins home3
Wins away2
Wins total5
Draws home1
Draws away0
Draws total1
Losses home0
Losses away1
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away0-3
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total2

Atletico Madrid goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home10
Goals for total away6
Goals for total16
Goals for average home2.50
Goals for average away2.00
Goals for average total2.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage6.25%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage6.25%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage37.50%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under7
Goals against total home3
Goals against total away4
Goals against total7
Goals against average home0.80
Goals against average away1.30
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage28.57%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage28.57%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage42.86%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under7

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Alaves predictions and analysis, Atletico Madrid match tips, or more La Liga predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.