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Kilmarnock vs Motherwell Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Premiership, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Premiership

Kilmarnock badge Kilmarnock
VS

Final result3–2

The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park

Match Finished

Motherwell badge Motherwell
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or MotherwellSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
KilmarnockProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
MotherwellProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Motherwell
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Motherwell

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorKilmarnockMotherwell
Form63.0%38.0%
Attack43.0%57.0%
Defence64.0%36.0%
Poisson18.0%82.0%
H2H29.0%71.0%
Goals29.0%71.0%
Total41.0%59.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Kilmarnock

Recent form (last 5): L D W D L

Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.

Motherwell

Recent form (last 5): W L L L L

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Motherwell 4–0 Kilmarnock (24 Jan 2026)
  2. Kilmarnock 1–3 Motherwell (22 Nov 2025)
  3. Motherwell 2–2 Kilmarnock (30 Aug 2025)
  4. Motherwell 3–0 Kilmarnock (14 May 2025)
  5. Kilmarnock 2–0 Motherwell (05 Apr 2025)
  6. Kilmarnock 0–0 Motherwell (08 Jan 2025)
  7. Motherwell 1–1 Kilmarnock (20 Dec 2024)
  8. Motherwell 1–0 Kilmarnock (18 Aug 2024)
  9. Motherwell 1–1 Kilmarnock (03 Feb 2024)
  10. Kilmarnock 1–0 Motherwell (04 Nov 2023)

Kilmarnock recent matches

Scores below are shown as Kilmarnock goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10 Oct 2026RangersAway1–3Lost
19 Sep 2026Heart Of MidlothianHome1–1Draw
15 Sep 2026HibernianAway1–0Won
12 Sep 2026AberdeenHome1–1Draw
05 Sep 2026AberdeenAway0–0Draw
Kilmarnock detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Kilmarnock performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total8
Wins home0
Wins away1
Wins total1
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home3
Losses away2
Losses total5
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins away0-1
Biggest losses home1-5
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home1
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home5
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Kilmarnock goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home2
Goals for total away5
Goals for total7
Goals for average home0.50
Goals for average away1.30
Goals for average total0.90
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage16.67%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under8
Goals against total home11
Goals against total away7
Goals against total18
Goals against average home2.80
Goals against average away1.80
Goals against average total2.30
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage21.05%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage15.79%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage26.32%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage15.79%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage5.26%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage15.79%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under7

Motherwell recent matches

Scores below are shown as Motherwell goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11 Oct 2026CelticHome0–2Lost
19 Sep 2026DundeeAway1–2Lost
15 Sep 2026AberdeenHome0–4Lost
05 Sep 2026RangersAway0–1Lost
02 Sep 2026Dundee UtdHome3–0Won
Motherwell detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Motherwell performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total8
Wins home1
Wins away1
Wins total2
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home2
Losses away2
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home0-4
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage50.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage50.00%
Penalty total2

Motherwell goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home3
Goals for total away6
Goals for total9
Goals for average home0.80
Goals for average away1.50
Goals for average total1.10
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage22.22%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under8
Goals against total home6
Goals against total away7
Goals against total13
Goals against average home1.50
Goals against average away1.80
Goals against average total1.60
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage7.69%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage38.46%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage23.08%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage15.38%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under8

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Kilmarnock predictions and analysis, Motherwell match tips, or more Premiership predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.