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Aberdeen vs ST Mirren Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Premiership, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Premiership

Aberdeen badge Aberdeen
VS

Final result3–1

Pittodrie Stadium

Match Finished

ST Mirren badge ST Mirren
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Aberdeen or draw and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
AberdeenProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
ST MirrenProbability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Aberdeen
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Aberdeen or draw and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorAberdeenST Mirren
Form63.0%38.0%
Attack71.0%29.0%
Defence69.0%31.0%
Poisson58.0%42.0%
H2H29.0%71.0%
Goals33.0%67.0%
Total53.8%46.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Aberdeen

Recent form (last 5): L D W D L

Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.

ST Mirren

Recent form (last 5): W L L L L

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Aberdeen 0–2 ST Mirren (12 May 2026)
  2. ST Mirren 2–0 Aberdeen (04 Apr 2026)
  3. Aberdeen 3–3 ST Mirren (03 Dec 2025)
  4. ST Mirren 0–1 Aberdeen (18 Oct 2025)
  5. ST Mirren 1–0 Aberdeen (03 May 2025)
  6. Aberdeen 0–3 ST Mirren (25 Jan 2025)
  7. ST Mirren 2–1 Aberdeen (23 Nov 2024)
  8. Aberdeen 3–1 ST Mirren (11 Aug 2024)
  9. ST Mirren 2–1 Aberdeen (02 Mar 2024)
  10. Aberdeen 0–3 ST Mirren (30 Dec 2023)

Aberdeen recent matches

Scores below are shown as Aberdeen goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11 Oct 2026ST JohnstoneHome0–1Lost
03 Oct 2026DunfermlineAway4–1Won
19 Sep 2026HibernianAway1–1Draw
15 Sep 2026MotherwellAway4–0Won
12 Sep 2026KilmarnockAway1–1Draw
Aberdeen detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Aberdeen performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total8
Wins home1
Wins away1
Wins total2
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home2
Losses away2
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home2-1
Biggest wins away0-4
Biggest losses home0-1
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total5
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Aberdeen goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home2
Goals for total away5
Goals for total7
Goals for average home0.50
Goals for average away1.30
Goals for average total0.90
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage57.14%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under8
Goals against total home3
Goals against total away6
Goals against total9
Goals against average home0.80
Goals against average away1.50
Goals against average total1.10
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage22.22%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under8

ST Mirren recent matches

Scores below are shown as ST Mirren goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10 Oct 2026Heart Of MidlothianAway0–5Lost
19 Sep 2026Dundee UtdHome0–3Lost
09 Sep 2026RangersAway0–1Lost
05 Sep 2026CelticHome1–2Lost
02 Sep 2026KilmarnockAway1–0Won
ST Mirren detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

ST Mirren performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total8
Wins home1
Wins away2
Wins total3
Draws home1
Draws away0
Draws total1
Losses home2
Losses away2
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home1-0
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away5-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away5
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total2

ST Mirren goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home5
Goals for total away3
Goals for total8
Goals for average home1.30
Goals for average away0.80
Goals for average total1.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage37.50%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage12.50%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under8
Goals against total home8
Goals against total away6
Goals against total14
Goals against average home2.00
Goals against average away1.50
Goals against average total1.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage21.43%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage21.43%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage7.14%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage21.43%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under7

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Aberdeen predictions and analysis, ST Mirren match tips, or more Premiership predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.