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Ayr Utd vs Dunfermline Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Championship, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Championship

Ayr Utd badge Ayr Utd
VS

Final result1–1

Somerset Park

Match Finished

Dunfermline badge Dunfermline
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or Dunfermline and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Ayr UtdProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
DunfermlineProbability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Dunfermline
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Dunfermline and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorAyr UtdDunfermline
Form38.0%63.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence33.0%67.0%
Poisson48.0%52.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals42.0%58.0%
Total43.5%56.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Ayr Utd

Recent form (last 5): L L W L W

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Dunfermline

Recent form (last 5): L W D W W

Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Dunfermline 1–1 Ayr Utd (08 Aug 2026)
  2. Ayr Utd 0–3 Dunfermline (07 Apr 2026)
  3. Dunfermline 2–3 Ayr Utd (20 Dec 2025)
  4. Ayr Utd 0–1 Dunfermline (31 Oct 2025)
  5. Dunfermline 0–1 Ayr Utd (23 Sep 2025)
  6. Ayr Utd 3–0 Dunfermline (29 Mar 2025)
  7. Dunfermline 0–2 Ayr Utd (14 Jan 2025)
  8. Ayr Utd 1–0 Dunfermline (23 Nov 2024)
  9. Dunfermline 1–1 Ayr Utd (31 Aug 2024)
  10. Ayr Utd 3–3 Dunfermline (03 May 2024)

Ayr Utd recent matches

Scores below are shown as Ayr Utd goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
03 Oct 2026LivingstonAway2–1Won
25 Sep 2026StenhousemuirHome0–1Lost
18 Sep 2026Queen's ParkAway2–0Won
12 Sep 2026Inverness CTHome1–3Lost
05 Sep 2026PartickAway0–1Lost
Ayr Utd detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Ayr Utd performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total9
Wins home1
Wins away2
Wins total3
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home2
Losses away2
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage50.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage50.00%
Penalty total2

Ayr Utd goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home4
Goals for total away5
Goals for total9
Goals for average home1.00
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total1.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage55.56%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage11.11%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under9
Goals against total home5
Goals against total away5
Goals against total10
Goals against average home1.30
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total1.10
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage40.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage30.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage20.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Dunfermline recent matches

Scores below are shown as Dunfermline goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
03 Oct 2026AberdeenHome1–4Lost
19 Sep 2026MortonAway1–0Won
12 Sep 2026Queen's ParkHome2–0Won
05 Sep 2026ArbroathAway1–1Draw
28 Aug 2026Raith RoversHome1–0Won
Dunfermline detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Dunfermline performance

Fixtures played home3
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total7
Wins home2
Wins away1
Wins total3
Draws home1
Draws away2
Draws total3
Losses home0
Losses away1
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away0-1
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Dunfermline goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home4
Goals for total away2
Goals for total6
Goals for average home1.30
Goals for average away0.50
Goals for average total0.90
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage16.67%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under7
Goals against total home1
Goals against total away3
Goals against total4
Goals against average home0.30
Goals against average away0.80
Goals against average total0.60
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage50.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under7

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Ayr Utd predictions and analysis, Dunfermline match tips, or more Championship predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.