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Arbroath vs Morton Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Championship, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Championship

Arbroath badge Arbroath
VS

Final result1–2

Gayfield Park

Match Finished

Morton badge Morton
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Arbroath or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
ArbroathProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
MortonProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Arbroath
Betting advice
Double chance : Arbroath or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorArbroathMorton
Form100.0%0.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence52.0%48.0%
Poisson84.0%16.0%
H2H38.0%62.0%
Goals45.0%55.0%
Total53.8%46.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Arbroath

Recent form (last 5): D L L W L

Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.

Morton

Recent form (last 5): L L L L L

Average goals scored: 0.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Morton 1–2 Arbroath (22 Aug 2026)
  2. Morton 2–1 Arbroath (28 Mar 2026)
  3. Arbroath 1–1 Morton (23 Jan 2026)
  4. Morton 1–0 Arbroath (08 Nov 2025)
  5. Arbroath 1–1 Morton (20 Sep 2025)
  6. Arbroath 1–2 Morton (20 Apr 2024)
  7. Morton 3–0 Arbroath (27 Jan 2024)
  8. Arbroath 1–2 Morton (09 Dec 2023)
  9. Morton 0–3 Arbroath (26 Aug 2023)
  10. Arbroath 1–1 Morton (17 Mar 2023)

Arbroath recent matches

Scores below are shown as Arbroath goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
03 Oct 2026PartickAway0–3Lost
25 Sep 2026Queen's ParkHome2–1Won
19 Sep 2026StenhousemuirAway0–1Lost
12 Sep 2026Raith RoversAway0–4Lost
05 Sep 2026DunfermlineHome1–1Draw
Arbroath detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Arbroath performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total9
Wins home2
Wins away1
Wins total3
Draws home2
Draws away0
Draws total2
Losses home0
Losses away4
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home2-1
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses away4-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away4
Failed to score total5
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Arbroath goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home4
Goals for total away2
Goals for total6
Goals for average home1.00
Goals for average away0.40
Goals for average total0.70
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage16.67%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under9
Goals against total home2
Goals against total away11
Goals against total13
Goals against average home0.50
Goals against average away2.20
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage23.08%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage7.69%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage30.77%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage7.69%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Morton recent matches

Scores below are shown as Morton goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
03 Oct 2026Raith RoversHome1–2Lost
25 Sep 2026Inverness CTAway0–2Lost
19 Sep 2026DunfermlineHome0–1Lost
11 Sep 2026LivingstonHome1–4Lost
05 Sep 2026Queen's ParkAway1–2Lost
Morton detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Morton performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total9
Wins home0
Wins away0
Wins total0
Draws home0
Draws away1
Draws total1
Losses home5
Losses away3
Losses total8
Biggest streak wins0
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest losses home1-4
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home1
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Morton goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home3
Goals for total away2
Goals for total5
Goals for average home0.60
Goals for average away0.50
Goals for average total0.60
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage50.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage16.67%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under9
Goals against total home10
Goals against total away7
Goals against total17
Goals against average home2.00
Goals against average away1.80
Goals against average total1.90
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage18.75%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage31.25%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Arbroath predictions and analysis, Morton match tips, or more Championship predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.