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Police vs Bugesera Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for National Soccer League, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

National Soccer League

Police badge Police
VS

Final result1–0

Match Finished

Bugesera badge Bugesera
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or Bugesera and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 95%
0%
HOME WIN
PoliceProbability
50%
DRAW
DrawProbability
50%
AWAY WIN
BugeseraProbability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Bugesera
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Bugesera and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorPoliceBugesera
Form40.0%60.0%
Attack20.0%80.0%
Defence20.0%80.0%
Poisson10.0%90.0%
H2H29.0%71.0%
Goals40.0%60.0%
Total26.5%73.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Police

Recent form (last 5): W L D L L

Average goals scored: 0.30 per match.

Bugesera

Recent form (last 5): L W W

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Police 0–1 Bugesera (19 Apr 2026)
  2. Bugesera 1–0 Police (26 Dec 2025)
  3. Bugesera 0–1 Police (15 Mar 2025)
  4. Police 2–2 Bugesera (13 Dec 2024)
  5. Police 1–2 Bugesera (26 Apr 2024)
  6. Bugesera 4–2 Police (05 Dec 2023)
  7. Bugesera 2–1 Police (11 Mar 2023)
  8. Police 2–1 Bugesera (13 Oct 2022)
  9. Bugesera 2–0 Police (13 Jun 2022)
  10. Police 1–2 Bugesera (24 Jan 2022)

Police recent matches

Scores below are shown as Police goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
28 Oct 2026Al MerreikhHome0–1Lost
25 Oct 2026MusanzeAway0–2Lost
16 Oct 2026GorillaHome0–0Draw
11 Oct 2026SunriseAway0–1Lost
17 Sep 2026MukuraAway1–0Won
Police detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Police performance

Fixtures played home3
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total6
Wins home0
Wins away1
Wins total1
Draws home1
Draws away0
Draws total1
Losses home2
Losses away2
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins away0-1
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home1
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Police goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home1
Goals for total away1
Goals for total2
Goals for average home0.30
Goals for average away0.30
Goals for average total0.30
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage50.00%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage50.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under6
Goals against total home3
Goals against total away3
Goals against total6
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage33.33%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under6

Bugesera recent matches

Scores below are shown as Bugesera goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18 Oct 2026Gasogi UnitedAway2–0Won
10 Oct 2026EtincellesHome2–0Won
15 Sep 2026Kiyovu SportsAway0–1Lost
30 May 2026RutsiroAway2–0Won
26 May 2026Rayon SportsAway0–2Lost
Bugesera detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Bugesera performance

Fixtures played home1
Fixtures played away2
Fixtures played total3
Wins home1
Wins away1
Wins total2
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away1
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins0
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses away1-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home0
Biggest goals against away1
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Bugesera goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home2
Goals for total away2
Goals for total4
Goals for average home2.00
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total1.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage50.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage25.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under3
Goals against total home0
Goals against total away1
Goals against total1
Goals against average home0.00
Goals against average away0.50
Goals against average total0.30
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage100.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under3

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Police predictions and analysis, Bugesera match tips, or more National Soccer League predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.