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Metallurg Lipetsk vs Orel Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Second League - Group 3, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Second League - Group 3

Metallurg Lipetsk badge Metallurg Lipetsk
VS

Final result1–2

Stadion Metallurg

Match Finished

Orel badge Orel
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Metallurg Lipetsk or draw and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 95%
50%
HOME WIN
Metallurg LipetskProbability
50%
DRAW
DrawProbability
0%
AWAY WIN
OrelProbability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Metallurg Lipetsk
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Metallurg Lipetsk or draw and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorMetallurg LipetskOrel
Form65.0%35.0%
Attack75.0%25.0%
Defence100.0%0.0%
Poisson78.0%22.0%
H2H88.0%13.0%
Goals100.0%0.0%
Total76.5%23.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Metallurg Lipetsk

Recent form (last 5): W D W W W

Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.

Orel

Recent form (last 5): L W W L D

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Orel 0–2 Metallurg Lipetsk (04 Jul 2026)
  2. Orel 0–0 Metallurg Lipetsk (13 Sep 2025)
  3. Metallurg Lipetsk 2–0 Orel (24 May 2025)

Metallurg Lipetsk recent matches

Scores below are shown as Metallurg Lipetsk goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17 Oct 2026Rodina Moskva IIIAway3–0Won
11 Oct 2026Saturn RamenskoyeHome3–0Won
03 Oct 2026Zenit PenzaHome2–0Won
27 Sep 2026Arsenal Tula IIAway0–0Draw
19 Sep 2026StroginoHome1–0Won
Metallurg Lipetsk detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Metallurg Lipetsk performance

Fixtures played home14
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total28
Wins home10
Wins away6
Wins total16
Draws home2
Draws away4
Draws total6
Losses home2
Losses away4
Losses total6
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away2-5
Biggest losses home0-1
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home6
Clean sheet away4
Clean sheet total10
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total5
Penalty scored total5
Penalty scored percentage83.33%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage16.67%
Penalty total6

Metallurg Lipetsk goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home25
Goals for total away28
Goals for total53
Goals for average home1.80
Goals for average away2.00
Goals for average total1.90
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage9.62%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total15
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage28.85%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total12
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage23.08%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage9.62%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage13.46%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage11.54%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total2
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage3.85%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over23
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over18
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under19
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under26
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under27
Goals against total home9
Goals against total away19
Goals against total28
Goals against average home0.60
Goals against average away1.40
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage6.90%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage6.90%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage10.34%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage24.14%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage24.14%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage17.24%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total3
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage10.34%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over18
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under20
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under26
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under28
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under28

Orel recent matches

Scores below are shown as Orel goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17 Oct 2026Zenit PenzaHome0–0Draw
11 Oct 2026Arsenal Tula IIAway0–1Lost
03 Oct 2026StroginoHome1–0Won
26 Sep 2026SKA Khabarovsk IIAway2–0Won
17 Sep 2026ShumbratHome0–2Lost
Orel detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Orel performance

Fixtures played home14
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total28
Wins home4
Wins away4
Wins total8
Draws home4
Draws away2
Draws total6
Losses home6
Losses away8
Losses total14
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses5
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away1-5
Biggest losses home1-5
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home5
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home4
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total7
Failed to score home7
Failed to score away6
Failed to score total13
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage75.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage25.00%
Penalty total4

Orel goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home11
Goals for total away18
Goals for total29
Goals for average home0.80
Goals for average away1.30
Goals for average total1.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage6.45%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage16.13%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage12.90%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage25.81%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage16.13%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage19.35%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage3.23%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over15
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under13
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under21
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under24
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under26
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under27
Goals against total home21
Goals against total away24
Goals against total45
Goals against average home1.50
Goals against average away1.70
Goals against average total1.60
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage13.95%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total9
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage20.93%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage18.60%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage18.60%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage4.65%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total8
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage18.60%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total2
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage4.65%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over21
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over13
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under15
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under21
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under25
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under27

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Metallurg Lipetsk predictions and analysis, Orel match tips, or more Second League - Group 3 predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.