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Penafiel vs Lusitânia Lourosa Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Segunda Liga, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

Record updated: .

Segunda Liga

Penafiel badge Penafiel
VS

Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril

Lusitânia Lourosa badge Lusitânia Lourosa
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Penafiel or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
PenafielProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Lusitânia LourosaProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Penafiel
Betting advice
Double chance : Penafiel or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorPenafielLusitânia Lourosa
Form67.0%33.0%
Attack65.0%35.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson52.0%48.0%
H2H80.0%20.0%
Goals100.0%0.0%
Total62.8%37.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Penafiel

Recent form (last 5): W L W W W

Average goals scored: 2.20 per match.

Lusitânia Lourosa

Recent form (last 5): W D D D L

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Penafiel 2–0 Lusitânia Lourosa (16 Feb 2026)
  2. Lusitânia Lourosa 0–0 Penafiel (13 Sep 2025)

Penafiel recent matches

Scores below are shown as Penafiel goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
07 Nov 2026ChavesAway3–2Won
02 Nov 2026FeirenseHome1–0Won
24 Oct 2026FarenseAway4–1Won
17 Oct 2026LeçaHome0–1Lost
09 Oct 2026AVSHome1–2Lost
Penafiel detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Penafiel performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total10
Wins home3
Wins away4
Wins total7
Draws home0
Draws away1
Draws total1
Losses home2
Losses away0
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away1-4
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Penafiel goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home8
Goals for total away14
Goals for total22
Goals for average home1.60
Goals for average away2.80
Goals for average total2.20
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage26.09%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage13.04%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage17.39%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage13.04%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage8.70%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage21.74%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under10
Goals against total home4
Goals against total away6
Goals against total10
Goals against average home0.80
Goals against average away1.20
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage22.22%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage22.22%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage33.33%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under10

Lusitânia Lourosa recent matches

Scores below are shown as Lusitânia Lourosa goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
08 Nov 2026FeirenseAway0–1Lost
01 Nov 2026FarenseHome1–1Draw
25 Oct 2026Felgueiras 1932Away2–2Draw
18 Oct 2026Os LimianosHome2–1Won
11 Oct 2026ChavesHome1–1Draw
Lusitânia Lourosa detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Lusitânia Lourosa performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total10
Wins home2
Wins away3
Wins total5
Draws home3
Draws away1
Draws total4
Losses home0
Losses away1
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses away1-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Lusitânia Lourosa goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home8
Goals for total away7
Goals for total15
Goals for average home1.60
Goals for average away1.40
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage21.43%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage35.71%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage7.14%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage35.71%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under10
Goals against total home5
Goals against total away4
Goals against total9
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away0.80
Goals against average total0.90
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage40.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under10

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Penafiel predictions and analysis, Lusitânia Lourosa match tips, or more Segunda Liga predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.