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Farense vs Penafiel Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Segunda Liga, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Segunda Liga

Farense badge Farense
VS

Final result1–4

Estádio de São Luís

Match Finished

Penafiel badge Penafiel
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Farense or drawSelection confidence: 70%
35%
HOME WIN
FarenseProbability
35%
DRAW
DrawProbability
30%
AWAY WIN
PenafielProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Farense
Betting advice
Double chance : Farense or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorFarensePenafiel
Form40.0%60.0%
Attack40.0%60.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson57.0%43.0%
H2H85.0%15.0%
Goals73.0%27.0%
Total57.5%42.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Farense

Recent form (last 5): D L D W W

Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.

Penafiel

Recent form (last 5): W W W W L

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Penafiel 1–1 Farense (07 Mar 2026)
  2. Farense 0–0 Penafiel (26 Oct 2025)
  3. Farense 2–1 Penafiel (22 Apr 2023)
  4. Penafiel 0–2 Farense (05 Nov 2022)
  5. Penafiel 1–3 Farense (19 Mar 2022)
  6. Farense 2–2 Penafiel (01 Nov 2021)
  7. Farense —–— Penafiel (10 May 2020)
  8. Penafiel 3–0 Farense (12 Jan 2020)
  9. Farense 1–1 Penafiel (19 Apr 2019)
  10. Penafiel 2–3 Farense (23 Dec 2018)

Farense recent matches

Scores below are shown as Farense goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17 Oct 2026AD Marco 09Home3–0Won
11 Oct 2026FeirenseHome2–1Won
04 Oct 2026ChavesHome4–0Won
20 Sep 2026SacavenenseAway1–0Won
13 Sep 2026AVSAway0–0Draw
Farense detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Farense performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total7
Wins home3
Wins away1
Wins total4
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home0
Losses away1
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Farense goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home9
Goals for total away4
Goals for total13
Goals for average home2.30
Goals for average away1.30
Goals for average total1.90
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage7.69%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage15.38%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage7.69%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage38.46%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage15.38%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage15.38%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under7
Goals against total home3
Goals against total away3
Goals against total6
Goals against average home0.80
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total0.90
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage33.33%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under7

Penafiel recent matches

Scores below are shown as Penafiel goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17 Oct 2026LeçaHome0–1Lost
09 Oct 2026AVSHome1–2Lost
25 Sep 2026Deportivo La CorunaHome2–2Draw
19 Sep 2026OliveirenseAway2–1Won
12 Sep 2026Felgueiras 1932Away2–1Won
Penafiel detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Penafiel performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total7
Wins home2
Wins away2
Wins total4
Draws home0
Draws away1
Draws total1
Losses home2
Losses away0
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away0-3
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Penafiel goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home7
Goals for total away7
Goals for total14
Goals for average home1.80
Goals for average away2.30
Goals for average total2.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage13.33%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage26.67%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage13.33%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage13.33%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage13.33%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under7
Goals against total home4
Goals against total away3
Goals against total7
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage33.33%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under7

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Farense predictions and analysis, Penafiel match tips, or more Segunda Liga predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.