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Chaves vs Penafiel Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Segunda Liga, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

Record updated: .

Segunda Liga

Chaves badge Chaves
VS

Estádio Engenheiro Branco Teixeira

Penafiel badge Penafiel
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Winner : Penafiel and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 10%
10%
HOME WIN
ChavesProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
PenafielProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Penafiel
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Penafiel and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorChavesPenafiel
Form37.0%63.0%
Attack29.0%71.0%
Defence36.0%64.0%
Poisson22.0%78.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals57.0%43.0%
Total38.5%61.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Chaves

Recent form (last 5): W L D W L

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Penafiel

Recent form (last 5): W W L W W

Average goals scored: 2.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Chaves 0–1 Penafiel (06 Feb 2026)
  2. Penafiel 0–2 Chaves (30 Aug 2025)
  3. Penafiel 0–0 Chaves (15 May 2025)
  4. Chaves 0–1 Penafiel (04 Jan 2025)
  5. Penafiel 1–2 Chaves (18 Jul 2023)
  6. Penafiel 2–1 Chaves (06 Mar 2022)
  7. Chaves 3–1 Penafiel (10 Oct 2021)
  8. Chaves 2–1 Penafiel (29 Mar 2021)
  9. Penafiel 1–0 Chaves (09 Nov 2020)
  10. Penafiel 0–0 Chaves (17 Feb 2020)

Chaves recent matches

Scores below are shown as Chaves goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31 Oct 2026Benfica BAway1–3Lost
23 Oct 2026VizelaHome2–1Won
16 Oct 2026Os MarialvasHome2–1Won
11 Oct 2026Lusitânia LourosaAway1–1Draw
04 Oct 2026FarenseAway0–4Lost
Chaves detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Chaves performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total9
Wins home2
Wins away0
Wins total2
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home1
Losses away4
Losses total5
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home2-1
Biggest losses home1-4
Biggest losses away4-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Chaves goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home6
Goals for total away3
Goals for total9
Goals for average home1.50
Goals for average away0.60
Goals for average total1.00
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage44.44%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under9
Goals against total home7
Goals against total away11
Goals against total18
Goals against average home1.80
Goals against average away2.20
Goals against average total2.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage5.56%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage22.22%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage22.22%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage5.56%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Penafiel recent matches

Scores below are shown as Penafiel goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
02 Nov 2026FeirenseHome1–0Won
24 Oct 2026FarenseAway4–1Won
17 Oct 2026LeçaHome0–1Lost
09 Oct 2026AVSHome1–2Lost
25 Sep 2026Deportivo La CorunaHome2–2Draw
Penafiel detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Penafiel performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total9
Wins home3
Wins away3
Wins total6
Draws home0
Draws away1
Draws total1
Losses home2
Losses away0
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away1-4
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Penafiel goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home8
Goals for total away11
Goals for total19
Goals for average home1.60
Goals for average away2.80
Goals for average total2.10
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage30.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage15.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage15.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under9
Goals against total home4
Goals against total away4
Goals against total8
Goals against average home0.80
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total0.90
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage28.57%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage28.57%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage28.57%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Chaves predictions and analysis, Penafiel match tips, or more Segunda Liga predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.