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Rio Ave vs Nacional Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Primeira Liga, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Primeira Liga

Rio Ave badge Rio Ave
VS

Final result3–2

Estádio dos Arcos

Match Finished

Nacional badge Nacional
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Rio Ave or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
Rio AveProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
NacionalProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Rio Ave
Betting advice
Double chance : Rio Ave or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorRio AveNacional
Form100.0%0.0%
Attack63.0%38.0%
Defence52.0%48.0%
Poisson47.0%53.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals41.0%59.0%
Total50.6%49.6%

Team form and goal analysis

Rio Ave

Recent form (last 5): W L L D L

Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.

Nacional

Recent form (last 5): L L L L L

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Nacional 4–0 Rio Ave (25 Jan 2026)
  2. Rio Ave 1–1 Nacional (17 Aug 2025)
  3. Nacional 3–3 Rio Ave (10 May 2025)
  4. Rio Ave 2–1 Nacional (29 Dec 2024)
  5. Rio Ave 1–1 Nacional (31 Jul 2024)
  6. Nacional 2–0 Rio Ave (10 Apr 2022)
  7. Rio Ave 1–0 Nacional (28 Nov 2021)
  8. Nacional 1–2 Rio Ave (19 May 2021)
  9. Rio Ave 0–0 Nacional (05 Feb 2021)
  10. Nacional 0–1 Rio Ave (17 Mar 2019)

Rio Ave recent matches

Scores below are shown as Rio Ave goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
19 Sep 2026AlvercaAway0–1Lost
14 Sep 2026EstrelaHome3–3Draw
06 Sep 2026Santa ClaraAway0–4Lost
28 Aug 2026Sporting CPHome0–4Lost
22 Aug 2026EstorilAway2–0Won
Rio Ave detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Rio Ave performance

Fixtures played home3
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total7
Wins home0
Wins away1
Wins total1
Draws home1
Draws away0
Draws total1
Losses home2
Losses away3
Losses total5
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home0-4
Biggest losses away4-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total5
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Rio Ave goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home3
Goals for total away2
Goals for total5
Goals for average home1.00
Goals for average away0.50
Goals for average total0.70
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under7
Goals against total home9
Goals against total away6
Goals against total15
Goals against average home3.00
Goals against average away1.50
Goals against average total2.10
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage26.67%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage6.67%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage6.67%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under7

Nacional recent matches

Scores below are shown as Nacional goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
19 Sep 2026FamalicaoHome0–4Lost
12 Sep 2026AlvercaHome1–3Lost
05 Sep 2026Sporting CPAway0–2Lost
30 Aug 2026EstrelaHome2–3Lost
23 Aug 2026Vitória SCAway0–1Lost
Nacional detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Nacional performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total7
Wins home1
Wins away0
Wins total1
Draws home0
Draws away1
Draws total1
Losses home3
Losses away2
Losses total5
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest losses home0-4
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Nacional goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home5
Goals for total away2
Goals for total7
Goals for average home1.30
Goals for average away0.70
Goals for average total1.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage28.57%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage28.57%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage28.57%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under7
Goals against total home10
Goals against total away5
Goals against total15
Goals against average home2.50
Goals against average away1.70
Goals against average total2.10
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage13.33%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage40.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage6.67%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage13.33%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage6.67%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under7

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Rio Ave predictions and analysis, Nacional match tips, or more Primeira Liga predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.