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Moreirense vs Estrela Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Primeira Liga, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Primeira Liga

Moreirense badge Moreirense
VS

Final result2–1

Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas

Match Finished

Estrela badge Estrela
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Moreirense or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
MoreirenseProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
EstrelaProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Moreirense
Betting advice
Double chance : Moreirense or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorMoreirenseEstrela
Form64.0%36.0%
Attack58.0%42.0%
Defence53.0%47.0%
Poisson42.0%58.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total52.8%47.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Moreirense

Recent form (last 5): L W D L W

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Estrela

Recent form (last 5): W D L L L

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Moreirense 3–2 Estrela (02 May 2026)
  2. Estrela 0–0 Moreirense (20 Dec 2025)
  3. Moreirense 1–1 Estrela (02 Mar 2025)
  4. Estrela 2–1 Moreirense (28 Sep 2024)
  5. Moreirense 2–2 Estrela (07 Apr 2024)
  6. Estrela 0–1 Moreirense (11 Nov 2023)
  7. Estrela 2–4 Moreirense (06 May 2023)
  8. Moreirense 0–0 Estrela (31 Dec 2022)
  9. Moreirense 4–2 Estrela (27 Nov 2022)

Moreirense recent matches

Scores below are shown as Moreirense goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
25 Oct 2026EstorilAway3–1Won
17 Oct 2026AVSAway0–1Lost
09 Oct 2026GIL VicenteHome0–1Lost
20 Sep 2026Vitória SCAway1–1Draw
14 Sep 2026MaritimoHome3–1Won
Moreirense detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Moreirense performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total9
Wins home1
Wins away2
Wins total3
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home2
Losses away2
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home0-4
Biggest losses away4-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Moreirense goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home5
Goals for total away6
Goals for total11
Goals for average home1.30
Goals for average away1.20
Goals for average total1.20
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage50.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage8.33%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage16.67%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under9
Goals against total home8
Goals against total away8
Goals against total16
Goals against average home2.00
Goals against average away1.60
Goals against average total1.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage6.67%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage6.67%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage13.33%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage33.33%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Estrela recent matches

Scores below are shown as Estrela goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
24 Oct 2026Casa PiaHome0–2Lost
17 Oct 2026FazendenseAway2–1Won
11 Oct 2026AroucaAway0–1Lost
20 Sep 2026Academico ViseuHome0–2Lost
14 Sep 2026Rio AveAway3–3Draw
Estrela detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Estrela performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total9
Wins home1
Wins away1
Wins total2
Draws home2
Draws away2
Draws total4
Losses home2
Losses away1
Losses total3
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home2-1
Biggest wins away2-3
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest losses away1-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage50.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage50.00%
Penalty total2

Estrela goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home6
Goals for total away8
Goals for total14
Goals for average home1.20
Goals for average away2.00
Goals for average total1.60
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage7.69%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage15.38%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage30.77%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage38.46%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage7.69%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under9
Goals against total home9
Goals against total away8
Goals against total17
Goals against average home1.80
Goals against average away2.00
Goals against average total1.90
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage27.78%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage5.56%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage22.22%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage5.56%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Moreirense predictions and analysis, Estrela match tips, or more Primeira Liga predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.