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Estrela vs Casa Pia Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Primeira Liga, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Primeira Liga

Estrela badge Estrela
VS

Final result0–2

Estadio Jose Gomes

Match Finished

Casa Pia badge Casa Pia
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Estrela or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
EstrelaProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Casa PiaProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Estrela
Betting advice
Double chance : Estrela or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorEstrelaCasa Pia
Form56.0%44.0%
Attack70.0%30.0%
Defence44.0%56.0%
Poisson65.0%35.0%
H2H40.0%60.0%
Goals59.0%41.0%
Total55.7%44.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Estrela

Recent form (last 5): D W D L L

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Casa Pia

Recent form (last 5): L D L W L

Average goals scored: 0.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Estrela 1–2 Casa Pia (18 Jul 2026)
  2. Estrela 4–0 Casa Pia (20 Mar 2026)
  3. Casa Pia 3–5 Estrela (01 Nov 2025)
  4. Casa Pia 1–0 Estrela (09 Feb 2025)
  5. Estrela 0–1 Casa Pia (31 Aug 2024)
  6. Estrela 3–1 Casa Pia (08 Mar 2024)
  7. Casa Pia 0–1 Estrela (08 Oct 2023)
  8. Estrela 1–1 Casa Pia (15 Jul 2023)
  9. Casa Pia 3–0 Estrela (23 Apr 2022)
  10. Estrela 1–0 Casa Pia (13 Dec 2021)

Estrela recent matches

Scores below are shown as Estrela goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17 Oct 2026FazendenseAway2–1Won
11 Oct 2026AroucaAway0–1Lost
20 Sep 2026Academico ViseuHome0–2Lost
14 Sep 2026Rio AveAway3–3Draw
10 Sep 2026SC BragaHome2–1Won
Estrela detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Estrela performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total8
Wins home1
Wins away1
Wins total2
Draws home2
Draws away2
Draws total4
Losses home1
Losses away1
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home2-1
Biggest wins away2-3
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest losses away1-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage50.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage50.00%
Penalty total2

Estrela goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home6
Goals for total away8
Goals for total14
Goals for average home1.50
Goals for average away2.00
Goals for average total1.80
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage7.69%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage15.38%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage30.77%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage38.46%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage7.69%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under8
Goals against total home7
Goals against total away8
Goals against total15
Goals against average home1.80
Goals against average away2.00
Goals against average total1.90
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage31.25%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage6.25%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage6.25%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage18.75%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under8

Casa Pia recent matches

Scores below are shown as Casa Pia goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18 Oct 2026AlpendoradaAway1–0Won
10 Oct 2026Santa ClaraHome0–1Lost
20 Sep 2026EstorilAway2–1Won
12 Sep 2026FC PortoHome1–4Lost
06 Sep 2026Vitória SCAway0–0Draw
Casa Pia detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Casa Pia performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total8
Wins home0
Wins away1
Wins total1
Draws home0
Draws away1
Draws total1
Losses home4
Losses away2
Losses total6
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home0-7
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home1
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home7
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total6
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage50.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage50.00%
Penalty total2

Casa Pia goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home1
Goals for total away2
Goals for total3
Goals for average home0.30
Goals for average away0.50
Goals for average total0.40
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under8
Goals against total home13
Goals against total away4
Goals against total17
Goals against average home3.30
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total2.10
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage12.50%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under7

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Estrela predictions and analysis, Casa Pia match tips, or more Primeira Liga predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.