Benfica vs Alverca Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Primeira Liga, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Primeira Liga

VS

Final result1–0

Estádio da Luz

Match Finished

OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Benfica or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
BenficaProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
AlvercaProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Benfica
Betting advice
Double chance : Benfica or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorBenficaAlverca
Form57.0%43.0%
Attack57.0%43.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson69.0%31.0%
H2H100.0%0.0%
Goals67.0%33.0%
Total60.0%40.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Benfica

Recent form (last 5): W W L W W

Average goals scored: 2.90 per match.

Alverca

Recent form (last 5): L W W W L

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Benfica 2–1 Alverca (08 Feb 2026)
  2. Alverca 1–2 Benfica (31 Aug 2025)

Benfica recent matches

Scores below are shown as Benfica goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
29 Oct 2026GIL VicenteHome4–1Won
26 Oct 2026Santa ClaraAway2–1Won
22 Oct 2026Omonia NicosiaAway4–1Won
15 Oct 2026CelticHome4–1Won
11 Oct 2026Vitória SCHome2–0Won
Benfica detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Benfica performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total9
Wins home3
Wins away4
Wins total7
Draws home1
Draws away0
Draws total1
Losses home0
Losses away1
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins5
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest wins away0-7
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away7
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total2

Benfica goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home9
Goals for total away17
Goals for total26
Goals for average home2.30
Goals for average away3.40
Goals for average total2.90
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage16.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage8.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage8.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage32.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage24.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage12.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under8
Goals against total home4
Goals against total away4
Goals against total8
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away0.80
Goals against average total0.90
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage22.22%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage44.44%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage11.11%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Alverca recent matches

Scores below are shown as Alverca goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
24 Oct 2026AroucaHome0–1Lost
18 Oct 2026TondelaAway0–2Lost
12 Oct 2026FamalicaoAway4–1Won
19 Sep 2026Rio AveHome1–0Won
12 Sep 2026NacionalAway3–1Won
Alverca detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Alverca performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total9
Wins home1
Wins away2
Wins total3
Draws home2
Draws away0
Draws total2
Losses home2
Losses away2
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home1-0
Biggest wins away1-4
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total2

Alverca goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home5
Goals for total away8
Goals for total13
Goals for average home1.00
Goals for average away2.00
Goals for average total1.40
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage7.14%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage21.43%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage21.43%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage21.43%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under9
Goals against total home6
Goals against total away7
Goals against total13
Goals against average home1.20
Goals against average away1.80
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage8.33%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage8.33%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage16.67%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Benfica predictions and analysis, Alverca match tips, or more Primeira Liga predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.