FreeSureBets
Download appApp

Matagalpa vs Real Estelí Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Primera Division, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Primera Division

Matagalpa badge Matagalpa
VS

Final result1–4

Match Finished

Real Estelí badge Real Estelí
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or Real Estelí and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
MatagalpaProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
Real EstelíProbability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Real Estelí
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Real Estelí and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorMatagalpaReal Estelí
Form53.0%47.0%
Attack25.0%75.0%
Defence43.0%57.0%
Poisson8.0%92.0%
H2H38.0%62.0%
Goals38.0%63.0%
Total34.2%66.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Matagalpa

Recent form (last 5): W W L W L

Average goals scored: 0.40 per match.

Real Estelí

Recent form (last 5): W W D D L

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Real Estelí 2–0 Matagalpa (26 Jul 2026)
  2. Real Estelí 0–0 Matagalpa (26 Apr 2026)
  3. Matagalpa 1–1 Real Estelí (23 Feb 2026)
  4. Matagalpa 1–0 Real Estelí (23 Nov 2025)
  5. Real Estelí 2–1 Matagalpa (14 Sep 2025)
  6. Real Estelí 1–1 Matagalpa (07 Jul 2025)
  7. Matagalpa 2–2 Real Estelí (03 Jul 2025)
  8. Matagalpa 2–4 Real Estelí (12 Mar 2025)
  9. Real Estelí 2–0 Matagalpa (26 Jan 2025)
  10. Matagalpa 4–1 Real Estelí (27 Oct 2024)

Matagalpa recent matches

Scores below are shown as Matagalpa goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
07 Sep 2026DiriangénHome0–3Lost
04 Sep 2026UNAN ManaguaHome1–0Won
30 Aug 2026Rancho SantanaHome0–1Lost
23 Aug 2026JalapaAway1–0Won
16 Aug 2026San MarcosHome1–0Won
Matagalpa detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Matagalpa performance

Fixtures played home6
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total9
Wins home2
Wins away1
Wins total3
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home4
Losses away2
Losses total6
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home1-0
Biggest wins away0-1
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home1
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home4
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total5
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Matagalpa goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home2
Goals for total away2
Goals for total4
Goals for average home0.30
Goals for average away0.70
Goals for average total0.40
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage50.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under9
Goals against total home10
Goals against total away6
Goals against total16
Goals against average home1.70
Goals against average away2.00
Goals against average total1.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage23.08%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage7.69%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage7.69%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage23.08%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage7.69%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Real Estelí recent matches

Scores below are shown as Real Estelí goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
08 Oct 2026UNAN ManaguaAway0–1Lost
11 Sep 2026ManaguaAway1–1Draw
06 Sep 2026Rancho SantanaAway1–1Draw
03 Sep 2026San MarcosHome2–0Won
30 Aug 2026H&H ExportAway5–0Won
Real Estelí detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Real Estelí performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total10
Wins home3
Wins away2
Wins total5
Draws home1
Draws away2
Draws total3
Losses home1
Losses away1
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away0-5
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest losses away1-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away1
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Real Estelí goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home9
Goals for total away8
Goals for total17
Goals for average home1.80
Goals for average away1.60
Goals for average total1.70
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage11.76%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage11.76%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage11.76%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage29.41%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage29.41%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage5.88%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under9
Goals against total home4
Goals against total away3
Goals against total7
Goals against average home0.80
Goals against average away0.60
Goals against average total0.70
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage28.57%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage28.57%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under10

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Matagalpa predictions and analysis, Real Estelí match tips, or more Primera Division predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.