Napier City Rovers vs Wellington Phoenix II Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for National League - National, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

National League - National

VS

Final result5–2

Match Finished

OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Winner : Napier City Rovers and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 45%
45%
HOME WIN
Napier City RoversProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Wellington Phoenix IIProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Napier City Rovers
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Napier City Rovers and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorNapier City RoversWellington Phoenix II
Form80.0%20.0%
Attack80.0%20.0%
Defence52.0%48.0%
Poisson100.0%0.0%
H2H62.0%38.0%
Goals58.0%42.0%
Total66.4%33.6%

Team form and goal analysis

Napier City Rovers

Recent form (last 5): D L W L

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Wellington Phoenix II

Recent form (last 5): D L L

Average goals scored: 0.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Napier City Rovers 1–1 Wellington Phoenix II (29 Jun 2025)
  2. Napier City Rovers 3–1 Wellington Phoenix II (01 Jun 2025)
  3. Wellington Phoenix II 2–0 Napier City Rovers (12 Apr 2025)
  4. Napier City Rovers 1–1 Wellington Phoenix II (13 Oct 2024)
  5. Napier City Rovers 2–0 Wellington Phoenix II (14 Jul 2024)
  6. Wellington Phoenix II 1–6 Napier City Rovers (20 Apr 2024)
  7. Wellington Phoenix II 0–1 Napier City Rovers (14 Oct 2023)
  8. Wellington Phoenix II 1–4 Napier City Rovers (12 Aug 2023)
  9. Napier City Rovers 2–3 Wellington Phoenix II (07 May 2023)
  10. Napier City Rovers 1–0 Wellington Phoenix II (01 Oct 2022)

Napier City Rovers recent matches

Scores below are shown as Napier City Rovers goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18 Oct 2026Birkenhead UnitedAway0–2Lost
11 Oct 2026Cashmere TechnicalHome2–1Won
04 Oct 2026Auckland UnitedAway1–7Lost
27 Sep 2026MiramarHome1–1Draw
16 Aug 2026Cashmere TechnicalAway1–2Lost
Napier City Rovers detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Napier City Rovers performance

Fixtures played home2
Fixtures played away2
Fixtures played total4
Wins home1
Wins away0
Wins total1
Draws home1
Draws away0
Draws total1
Losses home0
Losses away2
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home2-1
Biggest losses away7-1
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away7
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Napier City Rovers goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home3
Goals for total away1
Goals for total4
Goals for average home1.50
Goals for average away0.50
Goals for average total1.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage50.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under4
Goals against total home2
Goals against total away9
Goals against total11
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away4.50
Goals against average total2.80
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage27.27%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total2
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage18.18%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under3

Wellington Phoenix II recent matches

Scores below are shown as Wellington Phoenix II goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10 Oct 2026Birkenhead UnitedHome0–1Lost
04 Oct 2026Cashmere TechnicalAway0–10Lost
26 Sep 2026Auckland UnitedHome1–1Draw
07 Dec 2025Western SuburbsAway7–2Won
29 Nov 2025Birkenhead UnitedHome2–3Lost
Wellington Phoenix II detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Wellington Phoenix II performance

Fixtures played home2
Fixtures played away1
Fixtures played total3
Wins home0
Wins away0
Wins total0
Draws home1
Draws away0
Draws total1
Losses home1
Losses away1
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins0
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest losses home0-1
Biggest losses away10-0
Biggest goals for home1
Biggest goals for away0
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away10
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Wellington Phoenix II goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home1
Goals for total away0
Goals for total1
Goals for average home0.50
Goals for average away0.00
Goals for average total0.30
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage100.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under3
Goals against total home2
Goals against total away10
Goals against total12
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away10.00
Goals against average total4.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage8.33%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage8.33%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under2

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Napier City Rovers predictions and analysis, Wellington Phoenix II match tips, or more National League - National predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.