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Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Eredivisie, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam badge Sparta Rotterdam
VS

Final result1–2

Sparta Stadium Het Kasteel

Match Finished

Ajax badge Ajax
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Winner : Ajax and +2.5 goalsSelection confidence: 50%
0%
HOME WIN
Sparta RotterdamProbability
50%
DRAW
DrawProbability
50%
AWAY WIN
AjaxProbability
GOALS MARKET+2.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Ajax
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Ajax and +2.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorSparta RotterdamAjax
Form31.0%69.0%
Attack33.0%67.0%
Defence32.0%68.0%
Poisson12.0%88.0%
H2H25.0%75.0%
Goals33.0%67.0%
Total27.7%72.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Sparta Rotterdam

Recent form (last 5): D L L D W

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Ajax

Recent form (last 5): W W D D W

Average goals scored: 3.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Ajax 4–0 Sparta Rotterdam (14 Mar 2026)
  2. Sparta Rotterdam 3–3 Ajax (04 Oct 2025)
  3. Ajax 1–1 Sparta Rotterdam (27 Apr 2025)
  4. Sparta Rotterdam 0–2 Ajax (22 Dec 2024)
  5. Sparta Rotterdam 2–2 Ajax (17 Mar 2024)
  6. Ajax 2–1 Sparta Rotterdam (09 Dec 2023)
  7. Ajax 4–0 Sparta Rotterdam (19 Feb 2023)
  8. Sparta Rotterdam 0–1 Ajax (21 Aug 2022)
  9. Ajax 2–1 Sparta Rotterdam (09 Apr 2022)
  10. Sparta Rotterdam 0–1 Ajax (28 Nov 2021)

Sparta Rotterdam recent matches

Scores below are shown as Sparta Rotterdam goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17 Oct 2026Willem IIHome3–2Won
10 Oct 2026GO Ahead EaglesAway3–3Draw
19 Sep 2026HeerenveenHome0–4Lost
13 Sep 2026PSV EindhovenAway1–4Lost
04 Sep 2026PEC ZwolleHome2–2Draw
Sparta Rotterdam detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Sparta Rotterdam performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total9
Wins home1
Wins away1
Wins total2
Draws home2
Draws away1
Draws total3
Losses home2
Losses away2
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-2
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home0-4
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Sparta Rotterdam goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home8
Goals for total away8
Goals for total16
Goals for average home1.60
Goals for average away2.00
Goals for average total1.80
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage11.76%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage11.76%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage11.76%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage29.41%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage17.65%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage17.65%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under9
Goals against total home12
Goals against total away10
Goals against total22
Goals against average home2.40
Goals against average away2.50
Goals against average total2.40
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage28.57%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage19.05%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage23.81%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Ajax recent matches

Scores below are shown as Ajax goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
22 Oct 2026AtalantaHome2–0Won
18 Oct 2026GroningenAway5–2Won
15 Oct 2026HNK Hajduk SplitAway1–2Lost
10 Oct 2026NEC NijmegenHome1–1Draw
19 Sep 2026ExcelsiorHome2–2Draw
Ajax detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Ajax performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total9
Wins home1
Wins away4
Wins total5
Draws home3
Draws away0
Draws total3
Losses home1
Losses away0
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home5-1
Biggest wins away1-5
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage100.00%
Penalty total1

Ajax goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home11
Goals for total away16
Goals for total27
Goals for average home2.20
Goals for average away4.00
Goals for average total3.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage3.85%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage7.69%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage26.92%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage11.54%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage26.92%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage23.08%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under6
Goals against total home9
Goals against total away3
Goals against total12
Goals against average home1.80
Goals against average away0.80
Goals against average total1.30
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage7.69%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage23.08%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage7.69%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage30.77%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +2.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Sparta Rotterdam predictions and analysis, Ajax match tips, or more Eredivisie predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.