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Heerenveen vs Excelsior Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Eredivisie, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Eredivisie

Heerenveen badge Heerenveen
VS

Final result4–0

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Match Finished

Excelsior badge Excelsior
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or ExcelsiorSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
HeerenveenProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
ExcelsiorProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Excelsior
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Excelsior

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorHeerenveenExcelsior
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack47.0%53.0%
Defence61.0%39.0%
Poisson21.0%79.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals33.0%67.0%
Total43.7%56.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Heerenveen

Recent form (last 5): D L D W L

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Excelsior

Recent form (last 5): W D L D L

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Excelsior 1–2 Heerenveen (07 Mar 2026)
  2. Heerenveen 2–1 Excelsior (04 Oct 2025)
  3. Excelsior 3–0 Heerenveen (19 Jan 2024)
  4. Heerenveen 0–3 Excelsior (23 Sep 2023)
  5. Heerenveen 0–0 Excelsior (13 May 2023)
  6. Excelsior —–— Heerenveen (22 Dec 2022)
  7. Excelsior 0–1 Heerenveen (05 Nov 2022)
  8. Heerenveen 3–1 Excelsior (30 Jul 2022)
  9. Excelsior 0–3 Heerenveen (30 Oct 2019)
  10. Heerenveen 1–0 Excelsior (30 Mar 2019)

Heerenveen recent matches

Scores below are shown as Heerenveen goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
09 Oct 2026PSV EindhovenAway0–2Lost
19 Sep 2026Sparta RotterdamAway4–0Won
13 Sep 2026TelstarHome0–0Draw
06 Sep 2026AZ AlkmaarHome2–3Lost
30 Aug 2026Willem IIAway2–2Draw
Heerenveen detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Heerenveen performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total8
Wins home1
Wins away1
Wins total2
Draws home1
Draws away2
Draws total3
Losses home2
Losses away1
Losses total3
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home1-0
Biggest wins away0-4
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Heerenveen goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home3
Goals for total away8
Goals for total11
Goals for average home0.80
Goals for average away2.00
Goals for average total1.40
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage7.69%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage23.08%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage15.38%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage15.38%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage23.08%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage15.38%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under8
Goals against total home5
Goals against total away6
Goals against total11
Goals against average home1.30
Goals against average away1.50
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage22.22%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under8

Excelsior recent matches

Scores below are shown as Excelsior goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11 Oct 2026GroningenHome1–5Lost
19 Sep 2026AjaxAway2–2Draw
13 Sep 2026UtrechtHome1–2Lost
08 Sep 2026NEC NijmegenAway2–2Draw
05 Sep 2026Willem IIAway3–0Won
Excelsior detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Excelsior performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total8
Wins home1
Wins away2
Wins total3
Draws home0
Draws away2
Draws total2
Losses home3
Losses away0
Losses total3
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home2-1
Biggest wins away0-4
Biggest losses home1-5
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home5
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Excelsior goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home5
Goals for total away11
Goals for total16
Goals for average home1.30
Goals for average away2.80
Goals for average total2.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage5.88%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage11.76%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage41.18%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage5.88%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage17.65%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage17.65%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under8
Goals against total home10
Goals against total away4
Goals against total14
Goals against average home2.50
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total1.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage23.08%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage23.08%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage7.69%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under7

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Heerenveen predictions and analysis, Excelsior match tips, or more Eredivisie predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.