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Groningen vs Ajax Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Eredivisie, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Eredivisie

Groningen badge Groningen
VS

Final result2–5

Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion

Match Finished

Ajax badge Ajax
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or Ajax and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
GroningenProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
AjaxProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Ajax
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Ajax and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorGroningenAjax
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack48.0%52.0%
Defence53.0%47.0%
Poisson14.0%86.0%
H2H29.0%71.0%
Goals38.0%63.0%
Total38.7%61.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Groningen

Recent form (last 5): L D D W W

Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.

Ajax

Recent form (last 5): L W W D D

Average goals scored: 2.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Ajax 2–0 Groningen (21 May 2026)
  2. Groningen 3–1 Ajax (07 Mar 2026)
  3. Ajax 2–0 Groningen (02 Dec 2025)
  4. Groningen 2–2 Ajax (14 May 2025)
  5. Ajax 3–1 Groningen (06 Oct 2024)
  6. Groningen 2–3 Ajax (16 May 2023)
  7. Ajax 6–1 Groningen (14 Aug 2022)
  8. Groningen 1–3 Ajax (02 Apr 2022)
  9. Ajax 3–0 Groningen (25 Sep 2021)
  10. Ajax 3–1 Groningen (07 Mar 2021)

Groningen recent matches

Scores below are shown as Groningen goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11 Oct 2026ExcelsiorAway5–1Won
18 Sep 2026PEC ZwolleHome3–0Won
12 Sep 2026GO Ahead EaglesAway1–1Draw
06 Sep 2026TwenteHome2–2Draw
28 Aug 2026Fortuna SittardHome2–3Lost
Groningen detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Groningen performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total8
Wins home2
Wins away2
Wins total4
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home1
Losses away1
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away1-5
Biggest losses home2-3
Biggest losses away5-1
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away5
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Groningen goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home9
Goals for total away11
Goals for total20
Goals for average home2.30
Goals for average away2.80
Goals for average total2.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage26.32%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage26.32%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage15.79%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage5.26%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage15.79%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage5.26%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage5.26%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under7
Goals against total home6
Goals against total away8
Goals against total14
Goals against average home1.50
Goals against average away2.00
Goals against average total1.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage13.33%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage6.67%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage6.67%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under7

Ajax recent matches

Scores below are shown as Ajax goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
15 Oct 2026HNK Hajduk SplitAway1–2Lost
10 Oct 2026NEC NijmegenHome1–1Draw
19 Sep 2026ExcelsiorHome2–2Draw
15 Sep 2026Willem IIHome5–1Won
12 Sep 2026Fortuna SittardAway5–1Won
Ajax detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Ajax performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total8
Wins home1
Wins away3
Wins total4
Draws home3
Draws away0
Draws total3
Losses home1
Losses away0
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home5-1
Biggest wins away1-5
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away1
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Ajax goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home11
Goals for total away11
Goals for total22
Goals for average home2.20
Goals for average away3.70
Goals for average total2.80
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage4.76%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage4.76%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage28.57%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage9.52%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage23.81%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage28.57%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under6
Goals against total home9
Goals against total away1
Goals against total10
Goals against average home1.80
Goals against average away0.30
Goals against average total1.30
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage27.27%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage27.27%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under8

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Groningen predictions and analysis, Ajax match tips, or more Eredivisie predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.