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Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Eredivisie, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard badge Fortuna Sittard
VS

Final result1–0

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Match Finished

Excelsior badge Excelsior
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Fortuna Sittard or draw and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
Fortuna SittardProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
ExcelsiorProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Fortuna Sittard
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Fortuna Sittard or draw and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorFortuna SittardExcelsior
Form80.0%20.0%
Attack57.0%43.0%
Defence60.0%40.0%
Poisson31.0%69.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total54.7%45.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Fortuna Sittard

Recent form (last 5): W L W D D

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Excelsior

Recent form (last 5): D L D L L

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Fortuna Sittard 2–1 Excelsior (20 Feb 2026)
  2. Excelsior 1–0 Fortuna Sittard (19 Oct 2025)
  3. Fortuna Sittard 5–2 Excelsior (03 Mar 2024)
  4. Excelsior 2–2 Fortuna Sittard (26 Aug 2023)
  5. Excelsior 3–0 Fortuna Sittard (21 May 2023)
  6. Fortuna Sittard 1–0 Excelsior (17 Sep 2022)
  7. Fortuna Sittard 4–1 Excelsior (10 Feb 2019)
  8. Excelsior 1–1 Fortuna Sittard (11 Aug 2018)

Fortuna Sittard recent matches

Scores below are shown as Fortuna Sittard goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18 Oct 2026NEC NijmegenAway2–2Draw
10 Oct 2026TwenteHome1–1Draw
03 Oct 2026GenkAway2–1Won
19 Sep 2026Willem IIAway1–0Won
12 Sep 2026AjaxHome1–5Lost
Fortuna Sittard detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Fortuna Sittard performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total9
Wins home1
Wins away3
Wins total4
Draws home1
Draws away2
Draws total3
Losses home2
Losses away0
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest wins away2-3
Biggest losses home1-5
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home5
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Fortuna Sittard goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home5
Goals for total away11
Goals for total16
Goals for average home1.30
Goals for average away2.20
Goals for average total1.80
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage23.53%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage17.65%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage11.76%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage11.76%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage11.76%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage23.53%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under9
Goals against total home9
Goals against total away8
Goals against total17
Goals against average home2.30
Goals against average away1.60
Goals against average total1.90
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage18.75%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage18.75%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage18.75%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage6.25%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under8

Excelsior recent matches

Scores below are shown as Excelsior goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
16 Oct 2026HeerenveenAway0–4Lost
11 Oct 2026GroningenHome1–5Lost
19 Sep 2026AjaxAway2–2Draw
13 Sep 2026UtrechtHome1–2Lost
08 Sep 2026NEC NijmegenAway2–2Draw
Excelsior detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Excelsior performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total9
Wins home1
Wins away2
Wins total3
Draws home0
Draws away2
Draws total2
Losses home3
Losses away1
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home2-1
Biggest wins away0-4
Biggest losses home1-5
Biggest losses away4-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home5
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Excelsior goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home5
Goals for total away11
Goals for total16
Goals for average home1.30
Goals for average away2.20
Goals for average total1.80
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage5.88%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage11.76%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage41.18%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage5.88%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage17.65%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage17.65%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under9
Goals against total home10
Goals against total away8
Goals against total18
Goals against average home2.50
Goals against average away1.60
Goals against average total2.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage23.53%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage11.76%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage17.65%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage17.65%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage23.53%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage5.88%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under8

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Fortuna Sittard predictions and analysis, Excelsior match tips, or more Eredivisie predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.