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Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Eredivisie, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Eredivisie

Ajax badge Ajax
VS

Final result1–1

Johan Cruijff Arena

Match Finished

NEC Nijmegen badge NEC Nijmegen
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Ajax or draw and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
AjaxProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
NEC NijmegenProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Ajax
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Ajax or draw and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorAjaxNEC Nijmegen
Form67.0%33.0%
Attack71.0%29.0%
Defence59.0%41.0%
Poisson52.0%48.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals44.0%56.0%
Total57.2%42.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Ajax

Recent form (last 5): W L W W D

Average goals scored: 3.00 per match.

NEC Nijmegen

Recent form (last 5): W L D L D

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Ajax 1–1 NEC Nijmegen (21 Feb 2026)
  2. NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Ajax (20 Dec 2025)
  3. Ajax 0–3 NEC Nijmegen (11 May 2025)
  4. NEC Nijmegen 1–2 Ajax (01 Dec 2024)
  5. Ajax 2–2 NEC Nijmegen (18 Feb 2024)
  6. NEC Nijmegen 1–2 Ajax (03 Dec 2023)
  7. Ajax 1–0 NEC Nijmegen (05 Mar 2023)
  8. NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Ajax (08 Jan 2023)
  9. NEC Nijmegen 0–1 Ajax (23 Apr 2022)
  10. Ajax 5–0 NEC Nijmegen (14 Aug 2021)

Ajax recent matches

Scores below are shown as Ajax goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
19 Sep 2026ExcelsiorHome2–2Draw
15 Sep 2026Willem IIHome5–1Won
12 Sep 2026Fortuna SittardAway5–1Won
05 Sep 2026PSV EindhovenHome1–3Lost
30 Aug 2026TelstarAway4–0Won
Ajax detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Ajax performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total7
Wins home1
Wins away3
Wins total4
Draws home2
Draws away0
Draws total2
Losses home1
Losses away0
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home5-1
Biggest wins away1-5
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away1
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Ajax goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home10
Goals for total away11
Goals for total21
Goals for average home2.50
Goals for average away3.70
Goals for average total3.00
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage5.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage30.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage30.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under5
Goals against total home8
Goals against total away1
Goals against total9
Goals against average home2.00
Goals against average away0.30
Goals against average total1.30
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage30.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage30.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under7

NEC Nijmegen recent matches

Scores below are shown as NEC Nijmegen goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20 Sep 2026GO Ahead EaglesHome1–1Draw
17 Sep 2026JuventusAway0–5Lost
12 Sep 2026CambuurAway0–3Lost
08 Sep 2026ExcelsiorHome2–2Draw
05 Sep 2026FeyenoordHome1–3Lost
NEC Nijmegen detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

NEC Nijmegen performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total7
Wins home0
Wins away2
Wins total2
Draws home2
Draws away0
Draws total2
Losses home2
Losses away1
Losses total3
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins away1-4
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total2

NEC Nijmegen goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home5
Goals for total away7
Goals for total12
Goals for average home1.30
Goals for average away2.30
Goals for average total1.70
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage8.33%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage8.33%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under7
Goals against total home8
Goals against total away5
Goals against total13
Goals against average home2.00
Goals against average away1.70
Goals against average total1.90
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage23.08%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage15.38%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under7

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Ajax predictions and analysis, NEC Nijmegen match tips, or more Eredivisie predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.