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Toluca vs Atletico San Luis Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Liga MX, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Liga MX

Toluca badge Toluca
VS

Final result1–1

Estadio Nemesio Diez

Match Finished

Atletico San Luis badge Atletico San Luis
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Winner : Toluca and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 45%
45%
HOME WIN
TolucaProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Atletico San LuisProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Toluca
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Toluca and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorTolucaAtletico San Luis
Form54.0%46.0%
Attack65.0%35.0%
Defence48.0%52.0%
Poisson68.0%32.0%
H2H93.0%7.0%
Goals75.0%25.0%
Total67.2%32.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Toluca

Recent form (last 5): W W L D L

Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.

Atletico San Luis

Recent form (last 5): L L W W L

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Toluca 1–1 Atletico San Luis (13 Apr 2026)
  2. Atletico San Luis 1–3 Toluca (30 Aug 2025)
  3. Atletico San Luis 0–1 Toluca (17 Apr 2025)
  4. Toluca 2–1 Atletico San Luis (25 Aug 2024)
  5. Atletico San Luis 1–5 Toluca (20 Apr 2024)
  6. Toluca 3–1 Atletico San Luis (29 Oct 2023)
  7. Toluca 2–0 Atletico San Luis (26 Feb 2023)
  8. Atletico San Luis 1–0 Toluca (22 Aug 2022)
  9. Atletico San Luis 0–1 Toluca (13 Feb 2022)
  10. Toluca 1–2 Atletico San Luis (26 Sep 2021)

Toluca recent matches

Scores below are shown as Toluca goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10 Oct 2026Tigres UANLAway2–3Lost
27 Sep 2026Cruz AzulAway3–3Draw
21 Sep 2026Santos LagunaHome2–3Lost
16 Sep 2026PueblaAway1–0Won
13 Sep 2026AtlasHome5–2Won
Toluca detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Toluca performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away6
Fixtures played total11
Wins home3
Wins away3
Wins total6
Draws home0
Draws away2
Draws total2
Losses home2
Losses away1
Losses total3
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home2-3
Biggest losses away3-2
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total4
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total4

Toluca goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home15
Goals for total away10
Goals for total25
Goals for average home3.00
Goals for average away1.70
Goals for average total2.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage9.52%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage23.81%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage19.05%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage19.05%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage14.29%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over10
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under10
Goals against total home8
Goals against total away7
Goals against total15
Goals against average home1.60
Goals against average away1.20
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage10.53%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage26.32%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage26.32%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage10.53%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage26.32%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under11

Atletico San Luis recent matches

Scores below are shown as Atletico San Luis goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
12 Oct 2026Santos LagunaHome1–2Lost
27 Sep 2026U.N.A.M. - PumasAway3–2Won
20 Sep 2026NecaxaHome3–1Won
15 Sep 2026LeonAway0–2Lost
06 Sep 2026Guadalajara ChivasHome0–3Lost
Atletico San Luis detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Atletico San Luis performance

Fixtures played home6
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total11
Wins home1
Wins away2
Wins total3
Draws home2
Draws away1
Draws total3
Losses home3
Losses away2
Losses total5
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total2

Atletico San Luis goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home7
Goals for total away8
Goals for total15
Goals for average home1.20
Goals for average away1.60
Goals for average total1.40
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage13.33%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage13.33%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage33.33%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under11
Goals against total home10
Goals against total away10
Goals against total20
Goals against average home1.70
Goals against average away2.00
Goals against average total1.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage15.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage5.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage5.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over10
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under11

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Toluca predictions and analysis, Atletico San Luis match tips, or more Liga MX predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.