FreeSureBets
Download appApp

Tigres UANL vs Toluca Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Liga MX, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Liga MX

Tigres UANL badge Tigres UANL
VS

Final result3–2

Estadio Universitario

Match Finished

Toluca badge Toluca
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or TolucaSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Tigres UANLProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
TolucaProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Toluca
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Toluca

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorTigres UANLToluca
Form38.0%63.0%
Attack12.0%88.0%
Defence73.0%27.0%
Poisson47.0%53.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals47.0%53.0%
Total44.5%55.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Tigres UANL

Recent form (last 5): D D D L W

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Toluca

Recent form (last 5): W W W L D

Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Toluca 1–1 Tigres UANL (31 May 2026)
  2. Tigres UANL 0–0 Toluca (18 Jan 2026)
  3. Toluca 2–1 Tigres UANL (15 Dec 2025)
  4. Tigres UANL 1–0 Toluca (12 Dec 2025)
  5. Toluca 3–4 Tigres UANL (27 Jul 2025)
  6. Toluca 3–0 Tigres UANL (18 May 2025)
  7. Tigres UANL 1–1 Toluca (15 May 2025)
  8. Toluca 1–0 Tigres UANL (02 Feb 2025)
  9. Tigres UANL 2–1 Toluca (07 Nov 2024)
  10. Toluca 2–1 Tigres UANL (03 Mar 2024)

Tigres UANL recent matches

Scores below are shown as Tigres UANL goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
27 Sep 2026PueblaHome1–0Won
19 Sep 2026FC JuarezAway0–2Lost
13 Sep 2026MonterreyAway0–0Draw
06 Sep 2026NecaxaHome1–1Draw
30 Aug 2026Santos LagunaAway0–0Draw
Tigres UANL detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Tigres UANL performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away6
Fixtures played total10
Wins home2
Wins away0
Wins total2
Draws home2
Draws away2
Draws total4
Losses home0
Losses away4
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage66.67%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage33.33%
Penalty total3

Tigres UANL goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home6
Goals for total away4
Goals for total10
Goals for average home1.50
Goals for average away0.70
Goals for average total1.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage30.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under10
Goals against total home3
Goals against total away10
Goals against total13
Goals against average home0.80
Goals against average away1.70
Goals against average total1.30
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage23.08%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage7.69%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage7.69%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage46.15%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under10

Toluca recent matches

Scores below are shown as Toluca goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
27 Sep 2026Cruz AzulAway3–3Draw
21 Sep 2026Santos LagunaHome2–3Lost
16 Sep 2026PueblaAway1–0Won
13 Sep 2026AtlasHome5–2Won
07 Sep 2026MonterreyHome2–0Won
Toluca detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Toluca performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total10
Wins home3
Wins away3
Wins total6
Draws home0
Draws away2
Draws total2
Losses home2
Losses away0
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home2-3
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total4
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total4

Toluca goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home15
Goals for total away8
Goals for total23
Goals for average home3.00
Goals for average away1.60
Goals for average total2.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage10.53%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage26.32%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage15.79%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage15.79%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage15.79%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage15.79%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under9
Goals against total home8
Goals against total away4
Goals against total12
Goals against average home1.60
Goals against average away0.80
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage6.25%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage18.75%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage31.25%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage18.75%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total2
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage12.50%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under10

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Tigres UANL predictions and analysis, Toluca match tips, or more Liga MX predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.