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Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Liga MX, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Liga MX

Monterrey badge Monterrey
VS

Final result0–1

Estadio BBVA

Match Finished

Guadalajara Chivas badge Guadalajara Chivas
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Monterrey or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
MonterreyProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Guadalajara ChivasProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Monterrey
Betting advice
Double chance : Monterrey or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorMonterreyGuadalajara Chivas
Form63.0%38.0%
Attack67.0%33.0%
Defence46.0%54.0%
Poisson49.0%51.0%
H2H29.0%71.0%
Goals42.0%58.0%
Total49.3%50.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Monterrey

Recent form (last 5): W L D W W

Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.

Guadalajara Chivas

Recent form (last 5): D L D D W

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Monterrey 2–3 Guadalajara Chivas (22 Mar 2026)
  2. Guadalajara Chivas 4–2 Monterrey (09 Nov 2025)
  3. Monterrey 3–1 Guadalajara Chivas (06 Apr 2025)
  4. Guadalajara Chivas 1–1 Monterrey (29 Sep 2024)
  5. Monterrey 0–2 Guadalajara Chivas (31 Mar 2024)
  6. Guadalajara Chivas 1–2 Monterrey (04 Sep 2023)
  7. Monterrey 0–1 Guadalajara Chivas (08 Jan 2023)
  8. Guadalajara Chivas 1–0 Monterrey (24 Aug 2022)
  9. Guadalajara Chivas 1–3 Monterrey (14 Apr 2022)
  10. Monterrey 0–0 Guadalajara Chivas (22 Aug 2021)

Monterrey recent matches

Scores below are shown as Monterrey goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
22 Oct 2026PueblaAway4–1Won
19 Oct 2026CF PachucaHome2–1Won
11 Oct 2026Club AmericaAway1–1Draw
26 Sep 2026Atlante FCAway2–4Lost
20 Sep 2026Cruz AzulHome1–0Won
Monterrey detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Monterrey performance

Fixtures played home6
Fixtures played away6
Fixtures played total12
Wins home4
Wins away2
Wins total6
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home1
Losses away3
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home6-1
Biggest wins away1-4
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away4-2
Biggest goals for home6
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage66.67%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage33.33%
Penalty total3

Monterrey goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home13
Goals for total away10
Goals for total23
Goals for average home2.20
Goals for average away1.70
Goals for average total1.90
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage17.39%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total8
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage34.78%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage17.39%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage17.39%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage13.04%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over10
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under11
Goals against total home7
Goals against total away10
Goals against total17
Goals against average home1.20
Goals against average away1.70
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage11.76%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage5.88%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage23.53%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage11.76%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage17.65%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage29.41%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under12

Guadalajara Chivas recent matches

Scores below are shown as Guadalajara Chivas goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
21 Oct 2026NecaxaHome1–0Won
18 Oct 2026Tigres UANLHome1–1Draw
11 Oct 2026AtlasAway1–1Draw
27 Sep 2026Club QueretaroHome0–2Lost
20 Sep 2026Club AmericaAway2–2Draw
Guadalajara Chivas detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Guadalajara Chivas performance

Fixtures played home7
Fixtures played away6
Fixtures played total13
Wins home4
Wins away2
Wins total6
Draws home1
Draws away4
Draws total5
Losses home2
Losses away0
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home5-2
Biggest wins away0-3
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total5
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage66.67%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage33.33%
Penalty total3

Guadalajara Chivas goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home11
Goals for total away9
Goals for total20
Goals for average home1.60
Goals for average away1.50
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage5.56%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage22.22%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over11
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under12
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under12
Goals against total home7
Goals against total away5
Goals against total12
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away0.80
Goals against average total0.90
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage7.14%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage7.14%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage35.71%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage21.43%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under13
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under13
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under13

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Monterrey predictions and analysis, Guadalajara Chivas match tips, or more Liga MX predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.