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Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Liga MX, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

Record updated: .

Liga MX

Leon badge Leon
VS

Estadio León

Guadalajara Chivas badge Guadalajara Chivas
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or Guadalajara ChivasSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
LeonProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
Guadalajara ChivasProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Guadalajara Chivas
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Guadalajara Chivas

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorLeonGuadalajara Chivas
Form31.0%69.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence31.0%69.0%
Poisson37.0%63.0%
H2H60.0%40.0%
Goals36.0%64.0%
Total40.8%59.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Leon

Recent form (last 5): D L W D L

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Guadalajara Chivas

Recent form (last 5): D D W W W

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Guadalajara Chivas 5–0 Leon (19 Mar 2026)
  2. Leon 1–0 Guadalajara Chivas (20 Jul 2025)
  3. Leon 2–1 Guadalajara Chivas (29 Jan 2025)
  4. Guadalajara Chivas 2–0 Leon (19 Sep 2024)
  5. Guadalajara Chivas 1–2 Leon (10 Mar 2024)
  6. Guadalajara Chivas 2–0 Leon (10 Sep 2023)
  7. Leon 1–2 Guadalajara Chivas (04 Jul 2023)
  8. Leon 0–2 Guadalajara Chivas (16 Apr 2023)
  9. Guadalajara Chivas 0–0 Leon (21 Jul 2022)
  10. Leon 2–1 Guadalajara Chivas (20 Feb 2022)

Leon recent matches

Scores below are shown as Leon goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
02 Nov 2026Cruz AzulAway1–2Lost
25 Oct 2026TolucaHome1–1Draw
21 Oct 2026Tigres UANLAway2–0Won
18 Oct 2026Club AmericaHome3–5Lost
10 Oct 2026PueblaAway1–1Draw
Leon detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Leon performance

Fixtures played home7
Fixtures played away8
Fixtures played total15
Wins home4
Wins away2
Wins total6
Draws home1
Draws away3
Draws total4
Losses home2
Losses away3
Losses total5
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home3-5
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home5
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total4
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total4

Leon goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home13
Goals for total away9
Goals for total22
Goals for average home1.90
Goals for average away1.10
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage4.76%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage19.05%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage9.52%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage19.05%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage9.52%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage4.76%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over14
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under14
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under15
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under15
Goals against total home10
Goals against total away10
Goals against total20
Goals against average home1.40
Goals against average away1.30
Goals against average total1.30
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage4.76%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage4.76%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage23.81%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage19.05%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage33.33%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over11
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under12
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under14
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under14

Guadalajara Chivas recent matches

Scores below are shown as Guadalajara Chivas goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01 Nov 2026Atlante FCHome4–2Won
25 Oct 2026MonterreyAway1–0Won
21 Oct 2026NecaxaHome1–0Won
18 Oct 2026Tigres UANLHome1–1Draw
11 Oct 2026AtlasAway1–1Draw
Guadalajara Chivas detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Guadalajara Chivas performance

Fixtures played home8
Fixtures played away7
Fixtures played total15
Wins home5
Wins away3
Wins total8
Draws home1
Draws away4
Draws total5
Losses home2
Losses away0
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home5-2
Biggest wins away0-3
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total6
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage66.67%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage33.33%
Penalty total3

Guadalajara Chivas goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home15
Goals for total away10
Goals for total25
Goals for average home1.90
Goals for average away1.40
Goals for average total1.70
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage22.73%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage4.55%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage13.64%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage22.73%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage18.18%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over13
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under13
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under14
Goals against total home9
Goals against total away5
Goals against total14
Goals against average home1.10
Goals against average away0.70
Goals against average total0.90
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage11.76%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage5.88%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage17.65%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage11.76%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage29.41%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage23.53%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under15
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under15
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under15

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Leon predictions and analysis, Guadalajara Chivas match tips, or more Liga MX predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.