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Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Liga MX, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Liga MX

Guadalajara Chivas badge Guadalajara Chivas
VS

Final result1–0

Estadio Akron

Match Finished

Necaxa badge Necaxa
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Guadalajara Chivas or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
Guadalajara ChivasProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
NecaxaProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Guadalajara Chivas
Betting advice
Double chance : Guadalajara Chivas or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorGuadalajara ChivasNecaxa
Form86.0%14.0%
Attack54.0%46.0%
Defence68.0%32.0%
Poisson66.0%34.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals53.0%47.0%
Total62.8%37.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Guadalajara Chivas

Recent form (last 5): W D L D D

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Necaxa

Recent form (last 5): L L L D L

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Necaxa 0–0 Guadalajara Chivas (23 Apr 2026)
  2. Guadalajara Chivas 3–1 Necaxa (24 Sep 2025)
  3. Necaxa 3–2 Guadalajara Chivas (18 Jan 2025)
  4. Guadalajara Chivas 3–2 Necaxa (23 Oct 2024)
  5. Necaxa 1–0 Guadalajara Chivas (21 Feb 2024)
  6. Guadalajara Chivas 2–0 Necaxa (14 Jul 2023)
  7. Guadalajara Chivas 1–0 Necaxa (09 Apr 2023)
  8. Necaxa 0–4 Guadalajara Chivas (20 Aug 2022)
  9. Necaxa 0–1 Guadalajara Chivas (30 Apr 2022)
  10. Necaxa 2–3 Guadalajara Chivas (30 Dec 2021)

Guadalajara Chivas recent matches

Scores below are shown as Guadalajara Chivas goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18 Oct 2026Tigres UANLHome1–1Draw
11 Oct 2026AtlasAway1–1Draw
27 Sep 2026Club QueretaroHome0–2Lost
20 Sep 2026Club AmericaAway2–2Draw
14 Sep 2026U.N.A.M. - PumasHome3–0Won
Guadalajara Chivas detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Guadalajara Chivas performance

Fixtures played home6
Fixtures played away6
Fixtures played total12
Wins home3
Wins away2
Wins total5
Draws home1
Draws away4
Draws total5
Losses home2
Losses away0
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home5-2
Biggest wins away0-3
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage66.67%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage33.33%
Penalty total3

Guadalajara Chivas goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home10
Goals for total away9
Goals for total19
Goals for average home1.70
Goals for average away1.50
Goals for average total1.60
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage5.56%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage22.22%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over10
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under11
Goals against total home7
Goals against total away5
Goals against total12
Goals against average home1.20
Goals against average away0.80
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage7.69%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage7.69%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage38.46%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage15.38%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under12
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under12
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under12

Necaxa recent matches

Scores below are shown as Necaxa goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17 Oct 2026AtlasHome0–2Lost
12 Oct 2026CF PachucaAway3–3Draw
28 Sep 2026Club AmericaHome2–4Lost
20 Sep 2026Atletico San LuisAway1–3Lost
12 Sep 2026PueblaHome0–1Lost
Necaxa detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Necaxa performance

Fixtures played home7
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total12
Wins home2
Wins away0
Wins total2
Draws home0
Draws away3
Draws total3
Losses home5
Losses away2
Losses total7
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home2-1
Biggest losses home2-4
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage75.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage25.00%
Penalty total4

Necaxa goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home8
Goals for total away7
Goals for total15
Goals for average home1.10
Goals for average away1.40
Goals for average total1.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage17.65%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage23.53%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage17.65%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage5.88%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage35.29%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over10
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under12
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under12
Goals against total home14
Goals against total away11
Goals against total25
Goals against average home2.00
Goals against average away2.20
Goals against average total2.10
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage4.35%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage17.39%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage17.39%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage21.74%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage13.04%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage26.09%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over12
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under12

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Guadalajara Chivas predictions and analysis, Necaxa match tips, or more Liga MX predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.