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Cruz Azul vs Toluca Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Liga MX, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Liga MX

Cruz Azul badge Cruz Azul
VS

Final result3–3

Estadio Banorte

Match Finished

Toluca badge Toluca
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Cruz Azul or drawSelection confidence: 70%
35%
HOME WIN
Cruz AzulProbability
35%
DRAW
DrawProbability
30%
AWAY WIN
TolucaProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Cruz Azul
Betting advice
Double chance : Cruz Azul or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorCruz AzulToluca
Form43.0%57.0%
Attack36.0%64.0%
Defence46.0%54.0%
Poisson15.0%85.0%
H2H75.0%25.0%
Goals62.0%38.0%
Total46.2%53.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Cruz Azul

Recent form (last 5): L W W W L

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Toluca

Recent form (last 5): W W W W L

Average goals scored: 2.20 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Toluca 1–3 Cruz Azul (26 Jul 2026)
  2. Toluca 1–1 Cruz Azul (08 Feb 2026)
  3. Cruz Azul 1–0 Toluca (24 Aug 2025)
  4. Toluca 2–2 Cruz Azul (20 Apr 2025)
  5. Cruz Azul 1–1 Toluca (21 Jul 2024)
  6. Toluca 0–1 Cruz Azul (28 Apr 2024)
  7. Cruz Azul 0–2 Toluca (09 Jul 2023)
  8. Toluca 3–1 Cruz Azul (12 Feb 2023)
  9. Toluca 1–1 Cruz Azul (23 Dec 2022)
  10. Cruz Azul 2–3 Toluca (15 Aug 2022)

Cruz Azul recent matches

Scores below are shown as Cruz Azul goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20 Sep 2026MonterreyAway0–1Lost
17 Sep 2026Inter MiamiAway0–2Lost
13 Sep 2026Club AmericaHome4–3Won
07 Sep 2026Santos LagunaHome1–0Won
29 Aug 2026NecaxaAway3–1Won
Cruz Azul detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Cruz Azul performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total9
Wins home3
Wins away2
Wins total5
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home2
Losses away2
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home4-3
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage33.33%
Penalty missed total2
Penalty missed percentage66.67%
Penalty total3

Cruz Azul goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home9
Goals for total away7
Goals for total16
Goals for average home1.80
Goals for average away1.80
Goals for average total1.80
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage18.75%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage31.25%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under9
Goals against total home9
Goals against total away6
Goals against total15
Goals against average home1.80
Goals against average away1.50
Goals against average total1.70
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage6.67%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage13.33%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage6.67%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Toluca recent matches

Scores below are shown as Toluca goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
21 Sep 2026Santos LagunaHome2–3Lost
16 Sep 2026PueblaAway1–0Won
13 Sep 2026AtlasHome5–2Won
07 Sep 2026MonterreyHome2–0Won
03 Sep 2026LeonHome2–0Won
Toluca detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Toluca performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total9
Wins home3
Wins away3
Wins total6
Draws home0
Draws away1
Draws total1
Losses home2
Losses away0
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home2-3
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away1
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total3

Toluca goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home15
Goals for total away5
Goals for total20
Goals for average home3.00
Goals for average away1.30
Goals for average total2.20
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage31.25%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage18.75%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage6.25%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage18.75%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage12.50%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under8
Goals against total home8
Goals against total away1
Goals against total9
Goals against average home1.60
Goals against average away0.30
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage38.46%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage23.08%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage7.69%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Cruz Azul predictions and analysis, Toluca match tips, or more Liga MX predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.