Tlaxcala vs Cancún Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Liga de Expansión MX, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Liga de Expansión MX

VS

Final result4–1

Estadio Tlahuicole

Match Finished

OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or CancúnSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
TlaxcalaProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
CancúnProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Cancún
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Cancún

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorTlaxcalaCancún
Form47.0%53.0%
Attack41.0%59.0%
Defence33.0%67.0%
Poisson47.0%53.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals36.0%64.0%
Total42.3%57.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Tlaxcala

Recent form (last 5): L W D W L

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Cancún

Recent form (last 5): L W D D W

Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Tlaxcala 1–0 Cancún (18 Jan 2026)
  2. Cancún 3–0 Tlaxcala (10 Aug 2025)
  3. Tlaxcala 1–1 Cancún (16 Mar 2025)
  4. Cancún 5–2 Tlaxcala (29 Sep 2024)
  5. Tlaxcala 1–0 Cancún (11 Jan 2024)
  6. Cancún 1–2 Tlaxcala (07 Sep 2023)
  7. Tlaxcala 1–0 Cancún (09 Mar 2023)
  8. Cancún 1–0 Tlaxcala (20 Jul 2022)
  9. Cancún 1–0 Tlaxcala (07 Apr 2022)
  10. Tlaxcala 3–1 Cancún (03 Nov 2021)

Tlaxcala recent matches

Scores below are shown as Tlaxcala goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
21 Sep 2026TapatíoAway0–4Lost
13 Sep 2026CDS Tampico MaderoHome3–1Won
05 Sep 2026DurangoAway1–1Draw
30 Aug 2026Venados FCHome3–1Won
21 Aug 2026TepatitlánAway2–3Lost
Tlaxcala detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Tlaxcala performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total9
Wins home2
Wins away0
Wins total2
Draws home0
Draws away2
Draws total2
Losses home2
Losses away3
Losses total5
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest losses home2-4
Biggest losses away4-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage25.00%
Penalty missed total3
Penalty missed percentage75.00%
Penalty total4

Tlaxcala goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home8
Goals for total away6
Goals for total14
Goals for average home2.00
Goals for average away1.20
Goals for average total1.60
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage7.14%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage35.71%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under9
Goals against total home8
Goals against total away13
Goals against total21
Goals against average home2.00
Goals against average away2.60
Goals against average total2.30
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage9.52%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage4.76%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage23.81%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage33.33%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Cancún recent matches

Scores below are shown as Cancún goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20 Sep 2026Alebrijes de OaxacaHome3–0Won
16 Sep 2026DoradosAway1–1Draw
12 Sep 2026Correcaminos UatAway2–2Draw
06 Sep 2026Cruz Azul HidalgoHome6–0Won
28 Aug 2026CA La PazHome1–2Lost
Cancún detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Cancún performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total9
Wins home3
Wins away1
Wins total4
Draws home0
Draws away2
Draws total2
Losses home2
Losses away1
Losses total3
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home6-0
Biggest wins away0-1
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home6
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total4
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total4

Cancún goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home12
Goals for total away5
Goals for total17
Goals for average home2.40
Goals for average away1.30
Goals for average total1.90
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage17.65%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage5.88%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage17.65%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage5.88%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage11.76%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage41.18%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under8
Goals against total home4
Goals against total away7
Goals against total11
Goals against average home0.80
Goals against average away1.80
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage27.27%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage27.27%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Tlaxcala predictions and analysis, Cancún match tips, or more Liga de Expansión MX predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.