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Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Liga de Expansión MX, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Liga de Expansión MX

Tlaxcala badge Tlaxcala
VS

Final result0–1

Estadio Tlahuicole

Match Finished

CA La Paz badge CA La Paz
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or CA La Paz and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
TlaxcalaProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
CA La PazProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
CA La Paz
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or CA La Paz and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorTlaxcalaCA La Paz
Form52.0%48.0%
Attack46.0%54.0%
Defence58.0%42.0%
Poisson37.0%63.0%
H2H25.0%75.0%
Goals41.0%59.0%
Total43.2%56.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Tlaxcala

Recent form (last 5): D W D W W

Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.

CA La Paz

Recent form (last 5): L W D W W

Average goals scored: 2.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. CA La Paz 2–2 Tlaxcala (17 Oct 2026)
  2. CA La Paz 2–0 Tlaxcala (08 Mar 2026)
  3. Tlaxcala 3–3 CA La Paz (28 Sep 2025)
  4. CA La Paz 4–4 Tlaxcala (11 Jan 2025)
  5. Tlaxcala 0–2 CA La Paz (28 Jul 2024)
  6. Tlaxcala 2–3 CA La Paz (17 Feb 2024)
  7. CA La Paz 1–0 Tlaxcala (27 Sep 2023)
  8. Tlaxcala 1–0 CA La Paz (05 Apr 2023)
  9. CA La Paz 2–2 Tlaxcala (10 Aug 2022)

Tlaxcala recent matches

Scores below are shown as Tlaxcala goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31 Oct 2026Cruz Azul HidalgoAway2–0Won
25 Oct 2026Correcaminos UatHome2–0Won
17 Oct 2026CA La PazAway2–2Draw
11 Oct 2026PiratasHome4–2Won
04 Oct 2026MonarcasAway1–1Draw
Tlaxcala detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Tlaxcala performance

Fixtures played home7
Fixtures played away8
Fixtures played total15
Wins home5
Wins away1
Wins total6
Draws home0
Draws away4
Draws total4
Losses home2
Losses away3
Losses total5
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home2-4
Biggest losses away4-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total6
Penalty scored percentage66.67%
Penalty missed total3
Penalty missed percentage33.33%
Penalty total9

Tlaxcala goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home18
Goals for total away11
Goals for total29
Goals for average home2.60
Goals for average away1.40
Goals for average total1.90
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage3.45%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage10.34%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage20.69%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage13.79%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage13.79%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total11
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage37.93%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over13
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over10
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under13
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under15
Goals against total home11
Goals against total away16
Goals against total27
Goals against average home1.60
Goals against average away2.00
Goals against average total1.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage18.52%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage22.22%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage25.93%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over13
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under13
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under15

CA La Paz recent matches

Scores below are shown as CA La Paz goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31 Oct 2026DoradosHome3–0Won
25 Oct 2026CDS Tampico MaderoAway3–1Won
17 Oct 2026TlaxcalaHome2–2Draw
10 Oct 2026TapatíoAway4–2Won
03 Oct 2026Venados FCHome1–2Lost
CA La Paz detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

CA La Paz performance

Fixtures played home8
Fixtures played away7
Fixtures played total15
Wins home4
Wins away5
Wins total9
Draws home2
Draws away1
Draws total3
Losses home2
Losses away1
Losses total3
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away0-5
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away4-2
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total3

CA La Paz goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home15
Goals for total away21
Goals for total36
Goals for average home1.90
Goals for average away3.00
Goals for average total2.40
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage13.16%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage13.16%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total9
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage23.68%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage18.42%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage7.89%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total9
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage23.68%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over14
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over12
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under13
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under14
Goals against total home7
Goals against total away11
Goals against total18
Goals against average home0.90
Goals against average away1.60
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage6.25%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage18.75%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over11
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under14
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under14
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under15

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Tlaxcala predictions and analysis, CA La Paz match tips, or more Liga de Expansión MX predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.