Tepatitlán vs Cancún Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Liga de Expansión MX, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Liga de Expansión MX

VS

Final result0–4

Match Finished

OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or CancúnSelection confidence: 95%
0%
HOME WIN
TepatitlánProbability
50%
DRAW
DrawProbability
50%
AWAY WIN
CancúnProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Cancún
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Cancún

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorTepatitlánCancún
Form33.0%67.0%
Attack38.0%62.0%
Defence41.0%59.0%
Poisson36.0%64.0%
H2H15.0%85.0%
Goals31.0%69.0%
Total32.3%67.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Tepatitlán

Recent form (last 5): L W D L L

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Cancún

Recent form (last 5): W L W D D

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Cancún 2–2 Tepatitlán (29 Mar 2026)
  2. Tepatitlán 1–2 Cancún (18 Oct 2025)
  3. Tepatitlán 1–1 Cancún (18 Jan 2025)
  4. Cancún 2–0 Tepatitlán (04 Aug 2024)
  5. Cancún 2–0 Tepatitlán (20 Mar 2024)
  6. Tepatitlán 3–0 Cancún (31 Aug 2023)
  7. Tepatitlán 1–0 Cancún (22 Mar 2023)
  8. Cancún 1–2 Tepatitlán (12 Oct 2022)
  9. Cancún 2–2 Tepatitlán (22 Apr 2022)
  10. Cancún 2–1 Tepatitlán (09 Feb 2022)

Tepatitlán recent matches

Scores below are shown as Tepatitlán goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18 Oct 2026PiratasAway0–3Lost
14 Oct 2026TapatíoAway1–4Lost
10 Oct 2026MonarcasHome1–1Draw
03 Oct 2026CDS Tampico MaderoHome3–1Won
19 Sep 2026Mineros de ZacatecasHome0–1Lost
Tepatitlán detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Tepatitlán performance

Fixtures played home7
Fixtures played away6
Fixtures played total13
Wins home2
Wins away0
Wins total2
Draws home1
Draws away0
Draws total1
Losses home4
Losses away6
Losses total10
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest losses home0-5
Biggest losses away6-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home5
Biggest goals against away6
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away4
Failed to score total7
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage50.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage50.00%
Penalty total2

Tepatitlán goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home8
Goals for total away2
Goals for total10
Goals for average home1.10
Goals for average away0.30
Goals for average total0.80
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage11.11%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under13
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under13
Goals against total home15
Goals against total away22
Goals against total37
Goals against average home2.10
Goals against average away3.70
Goals against average total2.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage5.26%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage5.26%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage21.05%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage18.42%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage13.16%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total14
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage36.84%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over13
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under10

Cancún recent matches

Scores below are shown as Cancún goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18 Oct 2026Venados FCHome1–1Draw
11 Oct 2026Mineros de ZacatecasAway2–2Draw
04 Oct 2026TapatíoHome1–0Won
27 Sep 2026TlaxcalaAway1–4Lost
20 Sep 2026Alebrijes de OaxacaHome3–0Won
Cancún detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Cancún performance

Fixtures played home7
Fixtures played away6
Fixtures played total13
Wins home4
Wins away1
Wins total5
Draws home1
Draws away3
Draws total4
Losses home2
Losses away2
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home6-0
Biggest wins away0-1
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home6
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home4
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total5
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total4
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total4

Cancún goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home14
Goals for total away8
Goals for total22
Goals for average home2.00
Goals for average away1.30
Goals for average total1.70
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage13.64%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage31.82%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over12
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under12
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under12
Goals against total home5
Goals against total away13
Goals against total18
Goals against average home0.70
Goals against average away2.20
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage22.22%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage5.56%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage5.56%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage33.33%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under13

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Tepatitlán predictions and analysis, Cancún match tips, or more Liga de Expansión MX predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.