FreeSureBets
Download appApp

Tapatío vs Tepatitlán Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Liga de Expansión MX, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Liga de Expansión MX

Tapatío badge Tapatío
VS

Final result4–1

Estadio Akron

Match Finished

Tepatitlán badge Tepatitlán
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Winner : Tapatío and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 35%
35%
HOME WIN
TapatíoProbability
35%
DRAW
DrawProbability
30%
AWAY WIN
TepatitlánProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Tapatío
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Tapatío and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorTapatíoTepatitlán
Form43.0%57.0%
Attack62.0%38.0%
Defence52.0%48.0%
Poisson93.0%7.0%
H2H15.0%85.0%
Goals27.0%73.0%
Total48.7%51.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Tapatío

Recent form (last 5): L L W L L

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Tepatitlán

Recent form (last 5): L L L W D

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Tepatitlán 2–0 Tapatío (24 Jan 2026)
  2. Tapatío 1–3 Tepatitlán (18 Aug 2025)
  3. Tepatitlán 1–0 Tapatío (15 Feb 2025)
  4. Tapatío 1–1 Tepatitlán (11 Nov 2024)
  5. Tepatitlán 1–1 Tapatío (08 Nov 2024)
  6. Tapatío 2–0 Tepatitlán (01 Sep 2024)
  7. Tepatitlán 0–4 Tapatío (23 Mar 2024)
  8. Tapatío 2–2 Tepatitlán (25 Sep 2023)
  9. Tapatío 0–2 Tepatitlán (27 Mar 2023)
  10. Tepatitlán 3–2 Tapatío (25 Sep 2022)

Tapatío recent matches

Scores below are shown as Tapatío goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10 Oct 2026CA La PazHome2–4Lost
04 Oct 2026CancúnAway0–1Lost
21 Sep 2026TlaxcalaHome4–0Won
13 Sep 2026DoradosAway1–3Lost
07 Sep 2026Leones Negros UDGHome1–3Lost
Tapatío detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Tapatío performance

Fixtures played home6
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total11
Wins home3
Wins away1
Wins total4
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home2
Losses away3
Losses total5
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away2-3
Biggest losses home2-4
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Tapatío goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home12
Goals for total away7
Goals for total19
Goals for average home2.00
Goals for average away1.40
Goals for average total1.70
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage26.32%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage5.26%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage5.26%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage26.32%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage15.79%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage21.05%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under11
Goals against total home9
Goals against total away10
Goals against total19
Goals against average home1.50
Goals against average away2.00
Goals against average total1.70
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage15.79%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage10.53%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage10.53%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage15.79%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage26.32%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage21.05%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under11

Tepatitlán recent matches

Scores below are shown as Tepatitlán goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10 Oct 2026MonarcasHome1–1Draw
03 Oct 2026CDS Tampico MaderoHome3–1Won
19 Sep 2026Mineros de ZacatecasHome0–1Lost
13 Sep 2026Venados FCAway0–5Lost
04 Sep 2026DoradosHome1–4Lost
Tepatitlán detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Tepatitlán performance

Fixtures played home7
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total11
Wins home2
Wins away0
Wins total2
Draws home1
Draws away0
Draws total1
Losses home4
Losses away4
Losses total8
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest losses home0-5
Biggest losses away6-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home5
Biggest goals against away6
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total6
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage50.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage50.00%
Penalty total2

Tepatitlán goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home8
Goals for total away1
Goals for total9
Goals for average home1.10
Goals for average away0.30
Goals for average total0.80
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage37.50%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage37.50%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage12.50%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under11
Goals against total home15
Goals against total away15
Goals against total30
Goals against average home2.10
Goals against average away3.80
Goals against average total2.70
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage3.23%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage3.23%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage19.35%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage22.58%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage12.90%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total12
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage38.71%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over11
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under8

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Tapatío predictions and analysis, Tepatitlán match tips, or more Liga de Expansión MX predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.