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Tapatío vs CA La Paz Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Liga de Expansión MX, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Liga de Expansión MX

Tapatío badge Tapatío
VS

Final result2–4

Estadio Akron

Match Finished

CA La Paz badge CA La Paz
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or CA La PazSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
TapatíoProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
CA La PazProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
CA La Paz
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or CA La Paz

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorTapatíoCA La Paz
Form29.0%71.0%
Attack37.0%63.0%
Defence43.0%57.0%
Poisson41.0%59.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals43.0%57.0%
Total40.5%59.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Tapatío

Recent form (last 5): D L L W L

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

CA La Paz

Recent form (last 5): W D W W L

Average goals scored: 2.20 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. CA La Paz 2–2 Tapatío (10 Jan 2026)
  2. Tapatío 2–0 CA La Paz (04 Aug 2025)
  3. CA La Paz 4–1 Tapatío (01 Mar 2025)
  4. Tapatío 1–0 CA La Paz (15 Sep 2024)
  5. Tapatío 0–2 CA La Paz (02 Feb 2024)
  6. CA La Paz 2–2 Tapatío (07 Aug 2023)
  7. Tapatío 2–0 CA La Paz (30 Jan 2023)
  8. CA La Paz 3–2 Tapatío (13 Oct 2022)

Tapatío recent matches

Scores below are shown as Tapatío goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
04 Oct 2026CancúnAway0–1Lost
21 Sep 2026TlaxcalaHome4–0Won
13 Sep 2026DoradosAway1–3Lost
07 Sep 2026Leones Negros UDGHome1–3Lost
28 Aug 2026Alebrijes de OaxacaAway1–1Draw
Tapatío detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Tapatío performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total10
Wins home3
Wins away1
Wins total4
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home1
Losses away3
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away2-3
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Tapatío goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home10
Goals for total away7
Goals for total17
Goals for average home2.00
Goals for average away1.40
Goals for average total1.70
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage23.53%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage5.88%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage5.88%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage23.53%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage17.65%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage23.53%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under10
Goals against total home5
Goals against total away10
Goals against total15
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away2.00
Goals against average total1.50
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage6.67%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage13.33%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage13.33%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage6.67%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage26.67%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under10

CA La Paz recent matches

Scores below are shown as CA La Paz goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
03 Oct 2026Venados FCHome1–2Lost
25 Sep 2026Alebrijes de OaxacaAway3–1Won
19 Sep 2026Correcaminos UatHome3–1Won
13 Sep 2026Leones Negros UDGAway2–2Draw
05 Sep 2026Mineros de ZacatecasHome3–0Won
CA La Paz detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

CA La Paz performance

Fixtures played home6
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total11
Wins home3
Wins away3
Wins total6
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home2
Losses away1
Losses total3
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away0-5
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away4-2
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total2

CA La Paz goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home10
Goals for total away14
Goals for total24
Goals for average home1.70
Goals for average away2.80
Goals for average total2.20
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage11.54%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage15.38%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage23.08%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage11.54%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage7.69%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total8
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage30.77%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over10
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under10
Goals against total home5
Goals against total away8
Goals against total13
Goals against average home0.80
Goals against average away1.60
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage36.36%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under11

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Tapatío predictions and analysis, CA La Paz match tips, or more Liga de Expansión MX predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.