Piratas vs Tepatitlán Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Liga de Expansión MX, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Liga de Expansión MX

VS

Final result3–0

Match Finished

OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Winner : Piratas and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 45%
45%
HOME WIN
PiratasProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
TepatitlánProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Piratas
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Piratas and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorPiratasTepatitlán
Form64.0%36.0%
Attack64.0%36.0%
Defence57.0%43.0%
Poisson96.0%4.0%
H2H0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total70.3%29.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Piratas

Recent form (last 5): D W L W L

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Tepatitlán

Recent form (last 5): L L W D L

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

Piratas recent matches

Scores below are shown as Piratas goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11 Oct 2026TlaxcalaAway2–4Lost
04 Oct 2026Alebrijes de OaxacaHome4–0Won
25 Sep 2026Mineros de ZacatecasAway0–3Lost
19 Sep 2026Venados FCHome2–1Won
11 Sep 2026Cruz Azul HidalgoAway1–1Draw
Piratas detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Piratas performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away7
Fixtures played total12
Wins home4
Wins away1
Wins total5
Draws home0
Draws away3
Draws total3
Losses home1
Losses away3
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away0-3
Biggest losses home0-1
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total6
Penalty scored percentage75.00%
Penalty missed total2
Penalty missed percentage25.00%
Penalty total8

Piratas goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home11
Goals for total away7
Goals for total18
Goals for average home2.20
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage23.81%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage19.05%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage9.52%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage19.05%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage28.57%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under12
Goals against total home3
Goals against total away11
Goals against total14
Goals against average home0.60
Goals against average away1.60
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage36.36%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage27.27%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage18.18%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under12

Tepatitlán recent matches

Scores below are shown as Tepatitlán goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
14 Oct 2026TapatíoAway1–4Lost
10 Oct 2026MonarcasHome1–1Draw
03 Oct 2026CDS Tampico MaderoHome3–1Won
19 Sep 2026Mineros de ZacatecasHome0–1Lost
13 Sep 2026Venados FCAway0–5Lost
Tepatitlán detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Tepatitlán performance

Fixtures played home7
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total12
Wins home2
Wins away0
Wins total2
Draws home1
Draws away0
Draws total1
Losses home4
Losses away5
Losses total9
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest losses home0-5
Biggest losses away6-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home5
Biggest goals against away6
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total6
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage50.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage50.00%
Penalty total2

Tepatitlán goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home8
Goals for total away2
Goals for total10
Goals for average home1.10
Goals for average away0.40
Goals for average total0.80
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage11.11%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under12
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under12
Goals against total home15
Goals against total away19
Goals against total34
Goals against average home2.10
Goals against average away3.80
Goals against average total2.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage5.71%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage5.71%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage11.43%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total13
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage37.14%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over12
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Piratas predictions and analysis, Tepatitlán match tips, or more Liga de Expansión MX predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.