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Piratas vs Tapatío Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Liga de Expansión MX, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Liga de Expansión MX

Piratas badge Piratas
VS

Final result1–1

Match Finished

Tapatío badge Tapatío
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Winner : Piratas and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 50%
50%
HOME WIN
PiratasProbability
50%
DRAW
DrawProbability
0%
AWAY WIN
TapatíoProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Piratas
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Piratas and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorPiratasTapatío
Form75.0%25.0%
Attack67.0%33.0%
Defence65.0%35.0%
Poisson87.0%13.0%
H2H0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total73.5%26.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Piratas

Recent form (last 5): L W L W W

Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.

Tapatío

Recent form (last 5): L L W L L

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

Piratas recent matches

Scores below are shown as Piratas goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
25 Oct 2026DoradosAway5–0Won
18 Oct 2026TepatitlánHome3–0Won
11 Oct 2026TlaxcalaAway2–4Lost
04 Oct 2026Alebrijes de OaxacaHome4–0Won
25 Sep 2026Mineros de ZacatecasAway0–3Lost
Piratas detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Piratas performance

Fixtures played home6
Fixtures played away8
Fixtures played total14
Wins home5
Wins away2
Wins total7
Draws home0
Draws away3
Draws total3
Losses home1
Losses away3
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away0-5
Biggest losses home0-1
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total6
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total7
Penalty scored percentage77.78%
Penalty missed total2
Penalty missed percentage22.22%
Penalty total9

Piratas goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home14
Goals for total away12
Goals for total26
Goals for average home2.30
Goals for average away1.50
Goals for average total1.90
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage17.24%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage20.69%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage6.90%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage17.24%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total11
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage37.93%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over10
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under13
Goals against total home3
Goals against total away11
Goals against total14
Goals against average home0.50
Goals against average away1.40
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage36.36%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage27.27%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage18.18%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under12
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under13
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under14

Tapatío recent matches

Scores below are shown as Tapatío goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
26 Oct 2026MonarcasHome1–2Lost
18 Oct 2026DurangoAway0–5Lost
14 Oct 2026TepatitlánHome4–1Won
10 Oct 2026CA La PazHome2–4Lost
04 Oct 2026CancúnAway0–1Lost
Tapatío detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Tapatío performance

Fixtures played home8
Fixtures played away6
Fixtures played total14
Wins home4
Wins away1
Wins total5
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home3
Losses away4
Losses total7
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away2-3
Biggest losses home2-4
Biggest losses away5-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away5
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage66.67%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage33.33%
Penalty total3

Tapatío goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home17
Goals for total away7
Goals for total24
Goals for average home2.10
Goals for average away1.20
Goals for average total1.70
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage24.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage8.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage12.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage16.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage16.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage24.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over11
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under14
Goals against total home12
Goals against total away15
Goals against total27
Goals against average home1.50
Goals against average away2.50
Goals against average total1.90
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage11.54%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage11.54%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage26.92%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage19.23%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over11
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under12
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under13

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Piratas predictions and analysis, Tapatío match tips, or more Liga de Expansión MX predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.