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Monarcas vs Tlaxcala Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Liga de Expansión MX, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Liga de Expansión MX

Monarcas badge Monarcas
VS

Final result1–1

Estadio Morelos

Match Finished

Tlaxcala badge Tlaxcala
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Monarcas or draw and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
MonarcasProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
TlaxcalaProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Monarcas
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Monarcas or draw and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorMonarcasTlaxcala
Form55.0%45.0%
Attack45.0%55.0%
Defence73.0%27.0%
Poisson75.0%25.0%
H2H85.0%15.0%
Goals70.0%30.0%
Total67.2%32.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Monarcas

Recent form (last 5): W W W W L

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Tlaxcala

Recent form (last 5): W D W L W

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Monarcas 0–0 Tlaxcala (12 Apr 2026)
  2. Tlaxcala 0–1 Monarcas (02 Nov 2025)
  3. Tlaxcala 1–1 Monarcas (20 Apr 2025)
  4. Monarcas 2–1 Tlaxcala (01 Nov 2024)
  5. Monarcas 3–1 Tlaxcala (09 Feb 2024)
  6. Tlaxcala 2–3 Monarcas (21 Sep 2023)
  7. Tlaxcala 0–0 Monarcas (07 Jan 2023)
  8. Monarcas 2–0 Tlaxcala (07 Jul 2022)
  9. Tlaxcala 0–4 Monarcas (10 Jan 2022)
  10. Monarcas 1–3 Tlaxcala (10 Nov 2021)

Monarcas recent matches

Scores below are shown as Monarcas goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
27 Sep 2026Venados FCAway1–2Lost
20 Sep 2026Leones Negros UDGHome2–0Won
13 Sep 2026Mineros de ZacatecasAway1–0Won
06 Sep 2026Alebrijes de OaxacaHome4–1Won
29 Aug 2026DoradosAway1–0Won
Monarcas detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Monarcas performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total10
Wins home4
Wins away3
Wins total7
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home1
Losses away2
Losses total3
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total2

Monarcas goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home15
Goals for total away5
Goals for total20
Goals for average home3.00
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total2.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage9.52%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage4.76%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage38.10%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage4.76%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage28.57%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under10
Goals against total home7
Goals against total away4
Goals against total11
Goals against average home1.40
Goals against average away0.80
Goals against average total1.10
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage40.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage40.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under10

Tlaxcala recent matches

Scores below are shown as Tlaxcala goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
27 Sep 2026CancúnHome4–1Won
21 Sep 2026TapatíoAway0–4Lost
13 Sep 2026CDS Tampico MaderoHome3–1Won
05 Sep 2026DurangoAway1–1Draw
30 Aug 2026Venados FCHome3–1Won
Tlaxcala detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Tlaxcala performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total10
Wins home3
Wins away0
Wins total3
Draws home0
Draws away2
Draws total2
Losses home2
Losses away3
Losses total5
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest losses home2-4
Biggest losses away4-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage40.00%
Penalty missed total3
Penalty missed percentage60.00%
Penalty total5

Tlaxcala goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home12
Goals for total away6
Goals for total18
Goals for average home2.40
Goals for average away1.20
Goals for average total1.80
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage5.56%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage38.89%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under10
Goals against total home9
Goals against total away13
Goals against total22
Goals against average home1.80
Goals against average away2.60
Goals against average total2.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage4.55%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage22.73%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage13.64%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage31.82%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over10
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under10

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Monarcas predictions and analysis, Tlaxcala match tips, or more Liga de Expansión MX predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.