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Leones Negros UDG vs Monarcas Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Liga de Expansión MX, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

Record updated: .

Liga de Expansión MX

Leones Negros UDG badge Leones Negros UDG
VS

Estadio Jalisco

Monarcas badge Monarcas
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Leones Negros UDG or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
Leones Negros UDGProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
MonarcasProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Leones Negros UDG
Betting advice
Double chance : Leones Negros UDG or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorLeones Negros UDGMonarcas
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence62.0%38.0%
Poisson49.0%51.0%
H2H71.0%29.0%
Goals64.0%36.0%
Total57.7%42.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Leones Negros UDG

Recent form (last 5): L W W L W

Average goals scored: 2.10 per match.

Monarcas

Recent form (last 5): L W L W W

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Monarcas 2–0 Leones Negros UDG (20 Sep 2026)
  2. Leones Negros UDG 2–0 Monarcas (05 Apr 2026)
  3. Monarcas 2–3 Leones Negros UDG (27 Oct 2025)
  4. Leones Negros UDG 2–0 Monarcas (11 May 2025)
  5. Monarcas 2–0 Leones Negros UDG (04 May 2025)
  6. Leones Negros UDG 2–1 Monarcas (21 Mar 2025)
  7. Monarcas 0–2 Leones Negros UDG (06 Oct 2024)
  8. Monarcas 0–2 Leones Negros UDG (05 Apr 2024)
  9. Leones Negros UDG 2–0 Monarcas (19 Nov 2023)
  10. Monarcas 2–1 Leones Negros UDG (16 Nov 2023)

Leones Negros UDG recent matches

Scores below are shown as Leones Negros UDG goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
08 Nov 2026DurangoHome2–1Won
06 Nov 2026DurangoAway0–1Lost
01 Nov 2026TepatitlánHome3–1Won
25 Oct 2026Mineros de ZacatecasAway2–0Won
18 Oct 2026Alebrijes de OaxacaHome1–2Lost
Leones Negros UDG detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Leones Negros UDG performance

Fixtures played home8
Fixtures played away9
Fixtures played total17
Wins home4
Wins away6
Wins total10
Draws home2
Draws away1
Draws total3
Losses home2
Losses away2
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away2-4
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home6
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total2
Penalty missed percentage100.00%
Penalty total2

Leones Negros UDG goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home20
Goals for total away16
Goals for total36
Goals for average home2.50
Goals for average away1.80
Goals for average total2.10
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total9
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage26.47%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage17.65%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage17.65%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage5.88%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage8.82%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total8
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage23.53%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over15
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over11
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under12
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under14
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under16
Goals against total home13
Goals against total away9
Goals against total22
Goals against average home1.60
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total1.30
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage20.83%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage8.33%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total8
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage33.33%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over14
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under15
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under17
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under17

Monarcas recent matches

Scores below are shown as Monarcas goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
08 Nov 2026Venados FCHome2–1Won
05 Nov 2026Venados FCAway2–1Won
01 Nov 2026DurangoAway1–3Lost
26 Oct 2026TapatíoAway2–1Won
18 Oct 2026CDS Tampico MaderoHome1–2Lost
Monarcas detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Monarcas performance

Fixtures played home8
Fixtures played away9
Fixtures played total17
Wins home5
Wins away5
Wins total10
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home2
Losses away3
Losses total5
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage40.00%
Penalty missed total3
Penalty missed percentage60.00%
Penalty total5

Monarcas goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home19
Goals for total away11
Goals for total30
Goals for average home2.40
Goals for average away1.20
Goals for average total1.80
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage9.68%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage16.13%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage9.68%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total9
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage29.03%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage9.68%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total8
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage25.81%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over16
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under14
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under14
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under17
Goals against total home11
Goals against total away10
Goals against total21
Goals against average home1.40
Goals against average away1.10
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage5.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage35.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage5.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over14
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under12
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under15
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under17
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under17

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Leones Negros UDG predictions and analysis, Monarcas match tips, or more Liga de Expansión MX predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.