FreeSureBets
Download appApp

Leones Negros UDG vs Durango Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Liga de Expansión MX, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

Record updated: .

Liga de Expansión MX

Leones Negros UDG badge Leones Negros UDG
VS

Estadio Jalisco

Durango badge Durango
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Leones Negros UDG or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
Leones Negros UDGProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
DurangoProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Leones Negros UDG
Betting advice
Double chance : Leones Negros UDG or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorLeones Negros UDGDurango
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack48.0%52.0%
Defence46.0%54.0%
Poisson55.0%45.0%
H2H64.0%36.0%
Goals60.0%40.0%
Total53.8%46.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Leones Negros UDG

Recent form (last 5): W D L W W

Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.

Durango

Recent form (last 5): W D W L W

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Durango 1–2 Leones Negros UDG (23 Aug 2026)
  2. Leones Negros UDG 1–0 Durango (08 Feb 2023)
  3. Durango 1–0 Leones Negros UDG (19 Aug 2022)

Leones Negros UDG recent matches

Scores below are shown as Leones Negros UDG goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01 Nov 2026TepatitlánHome3–1Won
25 Oct 2026Mineros de ZacatecasAway2–0Won
18 Oct 2026Alebrijes de OaxacaHome1–2Lost
11 Oct 2026Venados FCAway1–1Draw
04 Oct 2026DoradosHome6–3Won
Leones Negros UDG detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Leones Negros UDG performance

Fixtures played home7
Fixtures played away8
Fixtures played total15
Wins home3
Wins away6
Wins total9
Draws home2
Draws away1
Draws total3
Losses home2
Losses away1
Losses total3
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away2-4
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home6
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total2
Penalty missed percentage100.00%
Penalty total2

Leones Negros UDG goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home18
Goals for total away16
Goals for total34
Goals for average home2.60
Goals for average away2.00
Goals for average total2.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total9
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage28.13%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage15.63%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage9.38%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage9.38%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total8
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over14
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over10
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under12
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under14
Goals against total home12
Goals against total away8
Goals against total20
Goals against average home1.70
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total1.30
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage27.27%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage13.64%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage31.82%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over12
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under13
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under15
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under15

Durango recent matches

Scores below are shown as Durango goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01 Nov 2026MonarcasHome3–1Won
25 Oct 2026Venados FCAway2–3Lost
18 Oct 2026TapatíoHome5–0Won
11 Oct 2026CDS Tampico MaderoAway0–0Draw
04 Oct 2026Mineros de ZacatecasHome4–2Won
Durango detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Durango performance

Fixtures played home7
Fixtures played away8
Fixtures played total15
Wins home4
Wins away3
Wins total7
Draws home1
Draws away2
Draws total3
Losses home2
Losses away3
Losses total5
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home5-0
Biggest wins away0-1
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away5
Clean sheet total7
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away4
Failed to score total5
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total3

Durango goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home16
Goals for total away5
Goals for total21
Goals for average home2.30
Goals for average away0.60
Goals for average total1.40
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage15.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage5.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over10
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under12
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under13
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under14
Goals against total home9
Goals against total away6
Goals against total15
Goals against average home1.30
Goals against average away0.80
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage6.25%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage18.75%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage18.75%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage6.25%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under13
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under15
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under15

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Leones Negros UDG predictions and analysis, Durango match tips, or more Liga de Expansión MX predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.