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Leones Negros UDG vs Dorados Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Liga de Expansión MX, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Liga de Expansión MX

Leones Negros UDG badge Leones Negros UDG
VS

Final result6–3

Estadio Jalisco

Match Finished

Dorados badge Dorados
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Leones Negros UDG or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
Leones Negros UDGProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
DoradosProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Leones Negros UDG
Betting advice
Double chance : Leones Negros UDG or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorLeones Negros UDGDorados
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack47.0%53.0%
Defence42.0%58.0%
Poisson36.0%64.0%
H2H93.0%7.0%
Goals83.0%17.0%
Total58.5%41.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Leones Negros UDG

Recent form (last 5): D W D L W

Average goals scored: 2.10 per match.

Dorados

Recent form (last 5): W W D D L

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Dorados 1–1 Leones Negros UDG (15 Mar 2026)
  2. Leones Negros UDG 2–0 Dorados (05 Oct 2025)
  3. Leones Negros UDG 4–0 Dorados (19 Jan 2025)
  4. Dorados 0–1 Leones Negros UDG (04 Aug 2024)
  5. Dorados 1–2 Leones Negros UDG (21 Mar 2024)
  6. Leones Negros UDG 4–0 Dorados (15 Sep 2023)
  7. Leones Negros UDG 2–0 Dorados (21 Apr 2023)
  8. Dorados 0–2 Leones Negros UDG (29 Sep 2022)
  9. Dorados 0–1 Leones Negros UDG (31 Jan 2022)
  10. Leones Negros UDG 0–0 Dorados (13 Aug 2021)

Leones Negros UDG recent matches

Scores below are shown as Leones Negros UDG goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
26 Sep 2026Cruz Azul HidalgoAway2–1Won
20 Sep 2026MonarcasAway0–2Lost
13 Sep 2026CA La PazHome2–2Draw
07 Sep 2026TapatíoAway3–1Won
30 Aug 2026PiratasHome1–1Draw
Leones Negros UDG detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Leones Negros UDG performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away6
Fixtures played total10
Wins home1
Wins away5
Wins total6
Draws home2
Draws away0
Draws total2
Losses home1
Losses away1
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away2-4
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total2
Penalty missed percentage100.00%
Penalty total2

Leones Negros UDG goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home8
Goals for total away13
Goals for total21
Goals for average home2.00
Goals for average away2.20
Goals for average total2.10
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total7
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage36.84%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage15.79%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage10.53%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage10.53%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage5.26%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage21.05%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under10
Goals against total home6
Goals against total away7
Goals against total13
Goals against average home1.50
Goals against average away1.20
Goals against average total1.30
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage13.33%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage26.67%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage26.67%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under10

Dorados recent matches

Scores below are shown as Dorados goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
27 Sep 2026DurangoHome0–1Lost
20 Sep 2026CDS Tampico MaderoAway1–1Draw
16 Sep 2026CancúnHome1–1Draw
13 Sep 2026TapatíoHome3–1Won
04 Sep 2026TepatitlánAway4–1Won
Dorados detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Dorados performance

Fixtures played home6
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total10
Wins home1
Wins away2
Wins total3
Draws home3
Draws away1
Draws total4
Losses home2
Losses away1
Losses total3
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest wins away1-4
Biggest losses home0-1
Biggest losses away4-2
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage50.00%
Penalty missed total2
Penalty missed percentage50.00%
Penalty total4

Dorados goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home8
Goals for total away9
Goals for total17
Goals for average home1.30
Goals for average away2.30
Goals for average total1.70
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage11.76%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage5.88%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage35.29%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage11.76%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage35.29%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under10
Goals against total home8
Goals against total away6
Goals against total14
Goals against average home1.30
Goals against average away1.50
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage21.43%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage7.14%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage28.57%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage14.29%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under10

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Leones Negros UDG predictions and analysis, Dorados match tips, or more Liga de Expansión MX predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.