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Durango vs Tapatío Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Liga de Expansión MX, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Liga de Expansión MX

Durango badge Durango
VS

Final result5–0

Estadio Francisco Zarco

Match Finished

Tapatío badge Tapatío
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or TapatíoSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
DurangoProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
TapatíoProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Tapatío
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Tapatío

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorDurangoTapatío
Form63.0%38.0%
Attack39.0%61.0%
Defence75.0%25.0%
Poisson48.0%52.0%
H2H0.0%100.0%
Goals27.0%73.0%
Total50.4%49.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Durango

Recent form (last 5): L W W W D

Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.

Tapatío

Recent form (last 5): L W L L W

Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Durango 2–5 Tapatío (13 Apr 2023)
  2. Tapatío 3–1 Durango (01 Jul 2022)

Durango recent matches

Scores below are shown as Durango goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11 Oct 2026CDS Tampico MaderoAway0–0Draw
04 Oct 2026Mineros de ZacatecasHome4–2Won
27 Sep 2026DoradosAway1–0Won
18 Sep 2026Cruz Azul HidalgoHome2–0Won
11 Sep 2026Alebrijes de OaxacaAway0–1Lost
Durango detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Durango performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away7
Fixtures played total12
Wins home2
Wins away3
Wins total5
Draws home1
Draws away2
Draws total3
Losses home2
Losses away2
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home4-2
Biggest wins away0-1
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away5
Clean sheet total6
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away4
Failed to score total5
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Durango goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home8
Goals for total away3
Goals for total11
Goals for average home1.60
Goals for average away0.40
Goals for average total0.90
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage36.36%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage18.18%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under12
Goals against total home8
Goals against total away3
Goals against total11
Goals against average home1.60
Goals against average away0.40
Goals against average total0.90
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage27.27%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage18.18%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under12
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under12

Tapatío recent matches

Scores below are shown as Tapatío goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
14 Oct 2026TepatitlánHome4–1Won
10 Oct 2026CA La PazHome2–4Lost
04 Oct 2026CancúnAway0–1Lost
21 Sep 2026TlaxcalaHome4–0Won
13 Sep 2026DoradosAway1–3Lost
Tapatío detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Tapatío performance

Fixtures played home7
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total12
Wins home4
Wins away1
Wins total5
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home2
Losses away3
Losses total5
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away2-3
Biggest losses home2-4
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage50.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage50.00%
Penalty total2

Tapatío goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home16
Goals for total away7
Goals for total23
Goals for average home2.30
Goals for average away1.40
Goals for average total1.90
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage26.09%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage8.70%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage13.04%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage17.39%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage13.04%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage21.74%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over10
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under12
Goals against total home10
Goals against total away10
Goals against total20
Goals against average home1.40
Goals against average away2.00
Goals against average total1.70
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage15.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage15.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage15.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under12

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Durango predictions and analysis, Tapatío match tips, or more Liga de Expansión MX predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.