FreeSureBets
Download appApp

Cancún vs Tapatío Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Liga de Expansión MX, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Liga de Expansión MX

Cancún badge Cancún
VS

Final result1–0

Match Finished

Tapatío badge Tapatío
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Cancún or draw and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
CancúnProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
TapatíoProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Cancún
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Cancún or draw and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorCancúnTapatío
Form53.0%47.0%
Attack54.0%46.0%
Defence56.0%44.0%
Poisson71.0%29.0%
H2H71.0%29.0%
Goals60.0%40.0%
Total60.8%39.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Cancún

Recent form (last 5): W D D W L

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Tapatío

Recent form (last 5): W D L L W

Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Cancún 1–0 Tapatío (27 Apr 2026)
  2. Tapatío 1–1 Cancún (24 Apr 2026)
  3. Tapatío 1–2 Cancún (07 Mar 2026)
  4. Cancún 1–0 Tapatío (28 Sep 2025)
  5. Cancún 1–2 Tapatío (06 Apr 2025)
  6. Tapatío 2–0 Cancún (20 Oct 2024)
  7. Cancún 1–1 Tapatío (27 Mar 2024)
  8. Tapatío 0–0 Cancún (23 Jul 2023)
  9. Cancún 1–0 Tapatío (30 Mar 2023)
  10. Tapatío 1–0 Cancún (27 Aug 2022)

Cancún recent matches

Scores below are shown as Cancún goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
27 Sep 2026TlaxcalaAway1–4Lost
20 Sep 2026Alebrijes de OaxacaHome3–0Won
16 Sep 2026DoradosAway1–1Draw
12 Sep 2026Correcaminos UatAway2–2Draw
06 Sep 2026Cruz Azul HidalgoHome6–0Won
Cancún detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Cancún performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total10
Wins home3
Wins away1
Wins total4
Draws home0
Draws away2
Draws total2
Losses home2
Losses away2
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home6-0
Biggest wins away0-1
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home6
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total4
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total4

Cancún goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home12
Goals for total away6
Goals for total18
Goals for average home2.40
Goals for average away1.20
Goals for average total1.80
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage5.56%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage38.89%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under9
Goals against total home4
Goals against total away11
Goals against total15
Goals against average home0.80
Goals against average away2.20
Goals against average total1.50
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage13.33%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage6.67%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage6.67%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage33.33%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under10

Tapatío recent matches

Scores below are shown as Tapatío goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
21 Sep 2026TlaxcalaHome4–0Won
13 Sep 2026DoradosAway1–3Lost
07 Sep 2026Leones Negros UDGHome1–3Lost
28 Aug 2026Alebrijes de OaxacaAway1–1Draw
24 Aug 2026Mineros de ZacatecasHome4–2Won
Tapatío detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Tapatío performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total9
Wins home3
Wins away1
Wins total4
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home1
Losses away2
Losses total3
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away2-3
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Tapatío goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home10
Goals for total away7
Goals for total17
Goals for average home2.00
Goals for average away1.80
Goals for average total1.90
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage23.53%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage5.88%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage5.88%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage23.53%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage17.65%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage23.53%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under9
Goals against total home5
Goals against total away9
Goals against total14
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away2.30
Goals against average total1.60
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage7.14%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage7.14%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage28.57%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage28.57%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Cancún predictions and analysis, Tapatío match tips, or more Liga de Expansión MX predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.