CA La Paz vs Venados FC Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Liga de Expansión MX, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Liga de Expansión MX

VS

Final result1–2

Estadio Guaycura

Match Finished

OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : CA La Paz or draw and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
CA La PazProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Venados FCProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
CA La Paz
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : CA La Paz or draw and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorCA La PazVenados FC
Form68.0%32.0%
Attack52.0%48.0%
Defence67.0%33.0%
Poisson80.0%20.0%
H2H62.0%38.0%
Goals53.0%47.0%
Total63.7%36.3%

Team form and goal analysis

CA La Paz

Recent form (last 5): W W D W W

Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.

Venados FC

Recent form (last 5): L L W L W

Average goals scored: 2.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. CA La Paz 1–0 Venados FC (31 Jan 2026)
  2. Venados FC 3–3 CA La Paz (23 Aug 2025)
  3. Venados FC 2–1 CA La Paz (08 Feb 2025)
  4. CA La Paz 1–1 Venados FC (24 Aug 2024)
  5. Venados FC 2–3 CA La Paz (28 Apr 2024)
  6. CA La Paz 3–1 Venados FC (25 Apr 2024)
  7. CA La Paz 0–1 Venados FC (10 Apr 2024)
  8. Venados FC 1–0 CA La Paz (13 Nov 2023)
  9. Venados FC 1–3 CA La Paz (12 Aug 2023)
  10. CA La Paz 3–2 Venados FC (29 Mar 2023)

CA La Paz recent matches

Scores below are shown as CA La Paz goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
25 Sep 2026Alebrijes de OaxacaAway3–1Won
19 Sep 2026Correcaminos UatHome3–1Won
13 Sep 2026Leones Negros UDGAway2–2Draw
05 Sep 2026Mineros de ZacatecasHome3–0Won
28 Aug 2026CancúnAway2–1Won
CA La Paz detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

CA La Paz performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total10
Wins home3
Wins away3
Wins total6
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home1
Losses away1
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away0-5
Biggest losses home0-1
Biggest losses away4-2
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

CA La Paz goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home9
Goals for total away14
Goals for total23
Goals for average home1.80
Goals for average away2.80
Goals for average total2.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage12.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage16.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage12.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage8.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total8
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage32.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under9
Goals against total home3
Goals against total away8
Goals against total11
Goals against average home0.60
Goals against average away1.60
Goals against average total1.10
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage22.22%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage22.22%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage44.44%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under10

Venados FC recent matches

Scores below are shown as Venados FC goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
27 Sep 2026MonarcasHome2–1Won
19 Sep 2026PiratasAway1–2Lost
13 Sep 2026TepatitlánHome5–0Won
06 Sep 2026CDS Tampico MaderoAway3–4Lost
30 Aug 2026TlaxcalaAway1–3Lost
Venados FC detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Venados FC performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total10
Wins home5
Wins away0
Wins total5
Draws home0
Draws away1
Draws total1
Losses home0
Losses away4
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home5-0
Biggest losses away5-1
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away5
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage50.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage50.00%
Penalty total2

Venados FC goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home17
Goals for total away7
Goals for total24
Goals for average home3.40
Goals for average away1.40
Goals for average total2.40
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage8.70%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage4.35%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage17.39%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage17.39%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total8
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage34.78%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage17.39%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over10
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under9
Goals against total home5
Goals against total away15
Goals against total20
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away3.00
Goals against average total2.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage9.52%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage23.81%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage28.57%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage9.52%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore CA La Paz predictions and analysis, Venados FC match tips, or more Liga de Expansión MX predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.