FK Liepaja vs FS Jelgava Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Virsliga, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Virsliga

VS

Final result3–0

Daugavas stadions

Match Finished

OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : FK Liepaja or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
FK LiepajaProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
FS JelgavaProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
FK Liepaja
Betting advice
Double chance : FK Liepaja or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorFK LiepajaFS Jelgava
Form60.0%40.0%
Attack54.0%46.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson63.0%37.0%
H2H75.0%25.0%
Goals62.0%38.0%
Total60.7%39.3%

Team form and goal analysis

FK Liepaja

Recent form (last 5): W D D D L

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

FS Jelgava

Recent form (last 5): W L D L L

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. FS Jelgava 0–2 FK Liepaja (26 Jul 2026)
  2. FS Jelgava 1–1 FK Liepaja (26 May 2026)
  3. FK Liepaja 1–1 FS Jelgava (12 Apr 2026)
  4. FK Liepaja 2–1 FS Jelgava (27 Feb 2026)
  5. FK Liepaja 2–2 FS Jelgava (25 Oct 2025)
  6. FS Jelgava 1–2 FK Liepaja (02 Aug 2025)
  7. FS Jelgava 0–1 FK Liepaja (30 May 2025)
  8. FK Liepaja 1–0 FS Jelgava (14 Apr 2025)
  9. FS Jelgava 2–2 FK Liepaja (03 Nov 2024)
  10. FK Liepaja 3–0 FS Jelgava (10 Aug 2024)

FK Liepaja recent matches

Scores below are shown as FK Liepaja goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
12 Oct 2026AudaHome2–3Lost
19 Sep 2026BFC DaugavpilsHome0–0Draw
11 Sep 2026Ogre UnitedAway2–2Draw
07 Sep 2026Rīgas FSAway0–0Draw
31 Aug 2026RigaHome3–2Won
FK Liepaja detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

FK Liepaja performance

Fixtures played home15
Fixtures played away17
Fixtures played total32
Wins home8
Wins away4
Wins total12
Draws home3
Draws away4
Draws total7
Losses home4
Losses away9
Losses total13
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest losses away5-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away5
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total6
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away7
Failed to score total10
Penalty scored total9
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total9

FK Liepaja goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home28
Goals for total away15
Goals for total43
Goals for average home1.90
Goals for average away0.90
Goals for average total1.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total7
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage15.56%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage8.89%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total9
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total9
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage6.67%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total13
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage28.89%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over22
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over14
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under18
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under30
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under32
Goals against total home17
Goals against total away29
Goals against total46
Goals against average home1.10
Goals against average away1.70
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total8
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage17.39%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage13.04%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage15.22%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage17.39%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage8.70%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total11
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage23.91%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total2
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage4.35%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over26
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over12
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under20
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under30
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under31

FS Jelgava recent matches

Scores below are shown as FS Jelgava goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11 Oct 2026Rīgas FSAway2–4Lost
19 Sep 2026RigaHome0–1Lost
12 Sep 2026GrobiņaAway0–0Draw
05 Sep 2026Super NovaHome0–1Lost
29 Aug 2026TukumsAway4–1Won
FS Jelgava detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

FS Jelgava performance

Fixtures played home16
Fixtures played away16
Fixtures played total32
Wins home4
Wins away4
Wins total8
Draws home2
Draws away6
Draws total8
Losses home10
Losses away6
Losses total16
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses5
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away1-5
Biggest losses home0-8
Biggest losses away5-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home8
Biggest goals against away5
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total5
Failed to score home9
Failed to score away6
Failed to score total15
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage33.33%
Penalty missed total2
Penalty missed percentage66.67%
Penalty total3

FS Jelgava goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home13
Goals for total away21
Goals for total34
Goals for average home0.80
Goals for average away1.30
Goals for average total1.10
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total7
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage18.92%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage18.92%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage13.51%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage10.81%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage18.92%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage18.92%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over17
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under15
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under23
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under28
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under29
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under31
Goals against total home25
Goals against total away28
Goals against total53
Goals against average home1.60
Goals against average away1.80
Goals against average total1.70
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total7
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage14.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total8
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage16.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage16.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total8
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage16.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total14
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage28.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over27
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over11
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under21
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under26
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under28
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under30

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore FK Liepaja predictions and analysis, FS Jelgava match tips, or more Virsliga predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.