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BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Virsliga, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Virsliga

BFC Daugavpils badge BFC Daugavpils
VS

Final result2–0

Celtnieks

Match Finished

Tukums badge Tukums
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : BFC Daugavpils or draw and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 95%
50%
HOME WIN
BFC DaugavpilsProbability
50%
DRAW
DrawProbability
0%
AWAY WIN
TukumsProbability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
BFC Daugavpils
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : BFC Daugavpils or draw and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorBFC DaugavpilsTukums
Form83.0%17.0%
Attack86.0%14.0%
Defence60.0%40.0%
Poisson74.0%26.0%
H2H62.0%38.0%
Goals60.0%40.0%
Total70.8%29.2%

Team form and goal analysis

BFC Daugavpils

Recent form (last 5): L D W W W

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Tukums

Recent form (last 5): L D L L D

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. BFC Daugavpils 2–0 Tukums (08 Aug 2026)
  2. Tukums 1–1 BFC Daugavpils (12 Jun 2026)
  3. Tukums 1–1 BFC Daugavpils (21 Apr 2026)
  4. Tukums 0–1 BFC Daugavpils (30 Aug 2025)
  5. BFC Daugavpils 1–2 Tukums (21 Jun 2025)
  6. Tukums 0–0 BFC Daugavpils (30 Apr 2025)
  7. BFC Daugavpils 3–0 Tukums (07 Mar 2025)
  8. Tukums 0–0 BFC Daugavpils (21 Sep 2024)
  9. Tukums 1–2 BFC Daugavpils (03 Jul 2024)
  10. BFC Daugavpils 4–1 Tukums (12 May 2024)

BFC Daugavpils recent matches

Scores below are shown as BFC Daugavpils goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
25 Oct 2026FS JelgavaAway1–0Won
19 Oct 2026AudaHome2–1Won
11 Oct 2026Ogre UnitedAway2–1Won
19 Sep 2026FK LiepajaAway0–0Draw
13 Sep 2026Rīgas FSHome1–2Lost
BFC Daugavpils detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

BFC Daugavpils performance

Fixtures played home17
Fixtures played away17
Fixtures played total34
Wins home9
Wins away4
Wins total13
Draws home2
Draws away7
Draws total9
Losses home6
Losses away6
Losses total12
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest wins away0-4
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home6
Clean sheet away4
Clean sheet total10
Failed to score home6
Failed to score away4
Failed to score total10
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage66.67%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage33.33%
Penalty total3

BFC Daugavpils goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home20
Goals for total away20
Goals for total40
Goals for average home1.20
Goals for average away1.20
Goals for average total1.20
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage7.14%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage11.90%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total18
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage42.86%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage9.52%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage14.29%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over11
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under23
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under30
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under33
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under34
Goals against total home14
Goals against total away23
Goals against total37
Goals against average home0.80
Goals against average away1.40
Goals against average total1.10
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage8.57%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total11
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage31.43%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage17.14%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total10
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage28.57%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under30
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under32
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under34

Tukums recent matches

Scores below are shown as Tukums goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
24 Oct 2026FK LiepajaAway0–0Draw
19 Oct 2026Rīgas FSAway0–2Lost
10 Oct 2026RigaHome0–2Lost
20 Sep 2026GrobiņaHome1–1Draw
10 Sep 2026Super NovaAway0–1Lost
Tukums detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Tukums performance

Fixtures played home17
Fixtures played away17
Fixtures played total34
Wins home5
Wins away0
Wins total5
Draws home5
Draws away5
Draws total10
Losses home7
Losses away12
Losses total19
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses6
Biggest wins home6-1
Biggest losses home1-4
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home6
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away6
Failed to score total8
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total2

Tukums goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home28
Goals for total away16
Goals for total44
Goals for average home1.60
Goals for average away0.90
Goals for average total1.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage6.25%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total8
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total11
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage22.92%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage10.42%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage10.42%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total16
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage33.33%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over26
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under25
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under30
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under32
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under32
Goals against total home26
Goals against total away39
Goals against total65
Goals against average home1.50
Goals against average away2.30
Goals against average total1.90
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total10
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage16.39%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total10
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage16.39%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total10
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage16.39%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage13.11%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total13
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage21.31%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total10
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage16.39%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over32
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over20
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under14
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over11
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under23
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under32
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under34

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore BFC Daugavpils predictions and analysis, Tukums match tips, or more Virsliga predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.