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Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for FKF Premier League, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

Match status: Match Postponed. The analysis below relates to the originally scheduled fixture.

Record updated: .

FKF Premier League

Nairobi United badge Nairobi United
VS

Match Postponed

Mara Sugar badge Mara Sugar
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Nairobi United or draw and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
Nairobi UnitedProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Mara SugarProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Nairobi United
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Nairobi United or draw and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorNairobi UnitedMara Sugar
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson53.0%47.0%
H2H62.0%38.0%
Goals56.0%44.0%
Total53.5%46.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Nairobi United

Recent form (last 5): D

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Mara Sugar

Recent form (last 5): D

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Nairobi United 1–1 Mara Sugar (01 Apr 2026)
  2. Mara Sugar 0–1 Nairobi United (01 Oct 2025)
  3. Nairobi United 1–1 Mara Sugar (01 Jun 2025)
  4. Nairobi United 1–1 Mara Sugar (01 Jun 2025)
  5. Mara Sugar 1–0 Nairobi United (02 Jun 2024)
  6. Nairobi United 0–2 Mara Sugar (16 Dec 2023)

Nairobi United recent matches

Scores below are shown as Nairobi United goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11 Oct 2026KCBHome2–2Draw
31 May 2026GOR MahiaAway1–0Won
Nairobi United detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Nairobi United performance

Fixtures played home1
Fixtures played away0
Fixtures played total1
Wins home0
Wins away0
Wins total0
Draws home1
Draws away0
Draws total1
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins0
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away0
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away0
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Nairobi United goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home2
Goals for total away0
Goals for total2
Goals for average home2.00
Goals for average away0.00
Goals for average total2.00
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage50.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage50.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under1
Goals against total home2
Goals against total away0
Goals against total2
Goals against average home2.00
Goals against average away0.00
Goals against average total2.00
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage50.00%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage50.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under1

Mara Sugar recent matches

Scores below are shown as Mara Sugar goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11 Oct 20263KAway2–2Draw
31 May 2026Murang'a SEALAway1–2Lost
Mara Sugar detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Mara Sugar performance

Fixtures played home0
Fixtures played away1
Fixtures played total1
Wins home0
Wins away0
Wins total0
Draws home0
Draws away1
Draws total1
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins0
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest goals for home0
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home0
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Mara Sugar goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home0
Goals for total away2
Goals for total2
Goals for average home0.00
Goals for average away2.00
Goals for average total2.00
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage50.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage50.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under1
Goals against total home0
Goals against total away2
Goals against total2
Goals against average home0.00
Goals against average away2.00
Goals against average total2.00
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage50.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage50.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under1

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Nairobi United predictions and analysis, Mara Sugar match tips, or more FKF Premier League predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.