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Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for J2 League, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

J2 League

Shonan Bellmare badge Shonan Bellmare
VS

Final result0–1

Lemon Gas Stadium

Match Finished

Sagan Tosu badge Sagan Tosu
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Shonan Bellmare or draw and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
Shonan BellmareProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Sagan TosuProbability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Shonan Bellmare
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Shonan Bellmare or draw and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorShonan BellmareSagan Tosu
Form40.0%60.0%
Attack45.0%55.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson73.0%27.0%
H2H60.0%40.0%
Goals47.0%53.0%
Total52.5%47.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Shonan Bellmare

Recent form (last 5): D D D W L

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Sagan Tosu

Recent form (last 5): W W L W L

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Sagan Tosu 1–0 Shonan Bellmare (06 Jun 2026)
  2. Sagan Tosu 1–2 Shonan Bellmare (31 Aug 2024)
  3. Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Sagan Tosu (06 May 2024)
  4. Shonan Bellmare 0–6 Sagan Tosu (24 Jun 2023)
  5. Sagan Tosu 1–5 Shonan Bellmare (18 Feb 2023)
  6. Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu (29 Oct 2022)
  7. Sagan Tosu 1–1 Shonan Bellmare (26 Feb 2022)
  8. Sagan Tosu 1–1 Shonan Bellmare (16 Oct 2021)
  9. Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Sagan Tosu (27 Feb 2021)
  10. Sagan Tosu 2–2 Shonan Bellmare (25 Oct 2020)

Shonan Bellmare recent matches

Scores below are shown as Shonan Bellmare goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31 Oct 2026Consadole SapporoAway0–1Lost
25 Oct 2026Tochigi CityHome2–1Won
21 Oct 2026IwakiHome1–1Draw
17 Oct 2026Kataller ToyamaAway1–1Draw
11 Oct 2026Albirex NiigataHome1–1Draw
Shonan Bellmare detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Shonan Bellmare performance

Fixtures played home6
Fixtures played away8
Fixtures played total14
Wins home2
Wins away3
Wins total5
Draws home3
Draws away4
Draws total7
Losses home1
Losses away1
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws4
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home2-1
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away1-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage100.00%
Penalty total1

Shonan Bellmare goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home7
Goals for total away8
Goals for total15
Goals for average home1.20
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total1.10
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage6.25%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage6.25%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage37.50%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over12
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under14
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under14
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under14
Goals against total home7
Goals against total away6
Goals against total13
Goals against average home1.20
Goals against average away0.80
Goals against average total0.90
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage8.33%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over10
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under12
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under13
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under14
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under14

Sagan Tosu recent matches

Scores below are shown as Sagan Tosu goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31 Oct 2026Jubilo IwataAway0–2Lost
28 Oct 2026Kawasaki FrontaleHome0–2Lost
25 Oct 2026Vanraure HachinoheHome2–0Won
21 Oct 2026Albirex NiigataAway1–2Lost
17 Oct 2026Omiya ArdijaHome2–1Won
Sagan Tosu detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Sagan Tosu performance

Fixtures played home7
Fixtures played away7
Fixtures played total14
Wins home5
Wins away0
Wins total5
Draws home0
Draws away2
Draws total2
Losses home2
Losses away5
Losses total7
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home4
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total5
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away5
Failed to score total5
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Sagan Tosu goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home11
Goals for total away3
Goals for total14
Goals for average home1.60
Goals for average away0.40
Goals for average total1.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage7.14%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage21.43%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage28.57%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under14
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under14
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under14
Goals against total home7
Goals against total away10
Goals against total17
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away1.40
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage5.88%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage5.88%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage11.76%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage23.53%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage11.76%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage41.18%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under12
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under14
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under14

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Shonan Bellmare predictions and analysis, Sagan Tosu match tips, or more J2 League predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.